Chow Tai Fook Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 17.46

CJEWY Stock  USD 14.83  1.06  6.67%   
Chow Tai's future price is the expected price of Chow Tai instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chow Tai Fook performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chow Tai Backtesting, Chow Tai Valuation, Chow Tai Correlation, Chow Tai Hype Analysis, Chow Tai Volatility, Chow Tai History as well as Chow Tai Performance.
  
Please specify Chow Tai's target price for which you would like Chow Tai odds to be computed.

Chow Tai Target Price Odds to finish below 17.46

The tendency of Chow Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 17.46  after 90 days
 14.83 90 days 17.46 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chow Tai to stay under $ 17.46  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Chow Tai Fook probability density function shows the probability of Chow Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chow Tai Fook price to stay between its current price of $ 14.83  and $ 17.46  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Chow Tai has a beta of 0.66 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Chow Tai average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chow Tai Fook will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chow Tai Fook has an alpha of 0.1405, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Chow Tai Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chow Tai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chow Tai Fook. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chow Tai's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5214.8317.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3714.6816.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chow Tai. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chow Tai's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chow Tai's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chow Tai Fook.

Chow Tai Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chow Tai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chow Tai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chow Tai Fook, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chow Tai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Chow Tai Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chow Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chow Tai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chow Tai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10 B

Chow Tai Technical Analysis

Chow Tai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chow Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chow Tai Fook. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chow Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chow Tai Predictive Forecast Models

Chow Tai's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chow Tai's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chow Tai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Chow Tai in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Chow Tai's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Chow Tai options trading.
Check out Chow Tai Backtesting, Chow Tai Valuation, Chow Tai Correlation, Chow Tai Hype Analysis, Chow Tai Volatility, Chow Tai History as well as Chow Tai Performance.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Chow Pink Sheet analysis

When running Chow Tai's price analysis, check to measure Chow Tai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chow Tai is operating at the current time. Most of Chow Tai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chow Tai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chow Tai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chow Tai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chow Tai's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chow Tai is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chow Tai's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.