Clarus Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.12
| CLAR Stock | USD 6.18 0.10 1.59% |
Closest to current price Clarus long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Clarus |
Clarus Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 23.12
The tendency of Clarus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 23.12 after 90 days |
| 6.18 | 90 days | 23.12 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clarus Corp to stay under $ 23.12 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Clarus Corp probability density function shows the probability of Clarus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Clarus Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 6.18 and $ 23.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.85 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.74 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Clarus Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Clarus Corp has an alpha of 0.059, implying that it can generate a 0.059 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Clarus Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Clarus Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clarus Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clarus Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Clarus Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clarus Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clarus Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clarus Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clarus Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Clarus Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clarus Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clarus Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Clarus Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 286.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 163.69 M. | |
| Clarus Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Clarus Corp paid $ 0.025 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Clarus Group Inc. Sells 2636 Shares of Exxon Mobil Co. - Defense World |
Clarus Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clarus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clarus Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clarus Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.3 M |
Clarus Corp Technical Analysis
Clarus Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clarus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clarus Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clarus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Clarus Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Clarus Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Clarus Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Clarus Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Clarus Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Clarus Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clarus Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Clarus Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 286.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.15 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 163.69 M. | |
| Clarus Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of March 2024 Clarus Corp paid $ 0.025 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Clarus Group Inc. Sells 2636 Shares of Exxon Mobil Co. - Defense World |
Check out Clarus Corp Backtesting, Clarus Corp Valuation, Clarus Corp Correlation, Clarus Corp Hype Analysis, Clarus Corp Volatility, Clarus Corp History as well as Clarus Corp Performance. To learn how to invest in Clarus Stock, please use our How to Invest in Clarus Corp guide.Note that the Clarus Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Clarus Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for Clarus Stock analysis
When running Clarus Corp's price analysis, check to measure Clarus Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clarus Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Clarus Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clarus Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clarus Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clarus Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Clarus Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clarus Corp. If investors know Clarus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clarus Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Dividend Share 0.1 | Earnings Share (0.42) | Revenue Per Share 7.63 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
The market value of Clarus Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clarus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clarus Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clarus Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clarus Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clarus Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clarus Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Clarus Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clarus Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.