Clarus Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.13

CLAR -  USA Stock  

USD 27.36  0.01  0.0366%

Clarus Corp's future price is the expected price of Clarus Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Clarus Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 09/18/2021, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 92.31, while Price to Book Value is likely to drop 2.05.

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Clarus Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Clarus Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Clarus Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Clarus Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2021-10-15 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Clarus Corp's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2021-10-15. The contract was last traded on 2021-09-08 at 11:01:47 for $2.62 and, as of today, has 27 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.0, and an ask price of $3.2. The implied volatility as of the 18th of September 2021 is 36.2478. View All Clarus options

Closest to current price Clarus long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Clarus Corp Backtesting, Clarus Corp Valuation, Clarus Corp Correlation, Clarus Corp Hype Analysis, Clarus Corp Volatility, Clarus Corp History as well as Clarus Corp Performance. Please specify Clarus Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Clarus Corp odds to be computed.
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Clarus Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 26.13

The tendency of Clarus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 26.13  or more in 90 days
 27.36 90 days 26.13  about 24.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clarus Corp to drop to $ 26.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 24.23 (This Clarus Corp probability density function shows the probability of Clarus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Clarus Corp price to stay between $ 26.13  and its current price of $27.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.63 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Clarus Corp has a beta of 0.98 suggesting Clarus Corp market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Clarus Corp is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2029, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Clarus Corp Price Density 

Predictive Modules for Clarus Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clarus Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clarus Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Clarus Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Clarus Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Clarus Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Clarus Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Clarus Corp.

Clarus Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clarus Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clarus Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clarus Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clarus Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW0.98
Overall volatility
Information ratio 0.11

Clarus Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clarus Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clarus Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Clarus Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from Form 8-KA Clarus Corp For Jul 01 -

Clarus Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clarus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clarus Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clarus Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.99%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.05
Short Percent Of Float1.50%
Float Shares19.12M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day105.8k
Shares Short Prior Month648.65k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month195.32k
Date Short Interest14th of May 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.18%

Clarus Corp Technical Analysis

Clarus Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clarus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clarus Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clarus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Clarus Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Clarus Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Clarus Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Clarus Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Clarus Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Clarus Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clarus Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Clarus Corp Alerts

Clarus Corp Alerts and Suggestions

Clarus Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from Form 8-KA Clarus Corp For Jul 01 -
Continue to Clarus Corp Backtesting, Clarus Corp Valuation, Clarus Corp Correlation, Clarus Corp Hype Analysis, Clarus Corp Volatility, Clarus Corp History as well as Clarus Corp Performance. Note that the Clarus Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Clarus Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for Clarus Stock analysis

When running Clarus Corp price analysis, check to measure Clarus Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clarus Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Clarus Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clarus Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clarus Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clarus Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Clarus Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clarus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clarus Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clarus Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clarus Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clarus Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clarus Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Clarus Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clarus Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.