Columbia Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.69

Columbia Limited's future price is the expected price of Columbia Limited instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Columbia Limited Duration performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Columbia Limited Target Price Odds to finish below 9.69

The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 9.69  after 90 days
 9.53 90 days 9.69  about 80.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Limited to stay under $ 9.69  after 90 days from now is about 80.11 (This Columbia Limited Duration probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Limited Duration price to stay between its current price of $ 9.53  and $ 9.69  at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.7 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Limited has a beta of 0.024 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Columbia Limited average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Columbia Limited Duration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Columbia Limited Duration is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Columbia Limited Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Columbia Limited

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Limited Duration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia Limited's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Columbia Limited in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.000.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.000.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.379.629.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.369.549.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia Limited. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia Limited's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia Limited's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Columbia Limited Duration.

Columbia Limited Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Limited is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Limited's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Limited Duration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Limited within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.04
β
Beta against DOW0.024
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.59

Columbia Limited Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Limited for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Limited Duration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Columbia Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds about 5.63% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Columbia Limited Technical Analysis

Columbia Limited's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Limited Duration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Columbia Limited Predictive Forecast Models

Columbia Limited time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Limited's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Columbia Limited's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Columbia Limited Duration

Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Limited for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Limited Duration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Columbia Limited Alerts

Columbia Limited Alerts and Suggestions

Columbia Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Columbia Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund holds about 5.63% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Continue to Columbia Limited Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Limited Correlation, Columbia Limited Hype Analysis, Columbia Limited Volatility, Columbia Limited History as well as Columbia Limited Performance. Note that the Columbia Limited Duration information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Columbia Limited's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Columbia Mutual Fund analysis

When running Columbia Limited Duration price analysis, check to measure Columbia Limited's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Columbia Limited is operating at the current time. Most of Columbia Limited's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Columbia Limited's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Columbia Limited's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Columbia Limited to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Columbia Limited's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Columbia Limited value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Columbia Limited's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.