Clever Leaves Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.0
| CLVR Stock | USD 3.84 0.24 5.88% |
Clever |
Clever Leaves Target Price Odds to finish over 8.0
The tendency of Clever Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.00 or more in 90 days |
| 3.84 | 90 days | 8.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Clever Leaves to move over $ 8.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Clever Leaves Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Clever Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Clever Leaves Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 3.84 and $ 8.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.04 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.02 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Clever Leaves will likely underperform. Additionally Clever Leaves Holdings has an alpha of 0.4715, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Clever Leaves Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Clever Leaves
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clever Leaves Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Clever Leaves' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Clever Leaves Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Clever Leaves is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Clever Leaves' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Clever Leaves Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Clever Leaves within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Clever Leaves Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Clever Leaves for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Clever Leaves Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Clever Leaves is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Clever Leaves appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Clever Leaves has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.81 M. | |
| Clever Leaves Holdings currently holds about 19.02 M in cash with (11.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.44. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Clever Leaves Ends Equity Sales Agreement with Canaccord Genuity - TipRanks.com - TipRanks |
Clever Leaves Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Clever Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Clever Leaves' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clever Leaves' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 M |
Clever Leaves Technical Analysis
Clever Leaves' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Clever Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Clever Leaves Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Clever Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Clever Leaves Predictive Forecast Models
Clever Leaves' time-series forecasting models is one of many Clever Leaves' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Clever Leaves' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Clever Leaves Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Clever Leaves for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Clever Leaves Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Clever Leaves is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Clever Leaves appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Clever Leaves has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 17.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.81 M. | |
| Clever Leaves Holdings currently holds about 19.02 M in cash with (11.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.44. | |
| Roughly 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Clever Leaves Ends Equity Sales Agreement with Canaccord Genuity - TipRanks.com - TipRanks |
Check out Clever Leaves Backtesting, Clever Leaves Valuation, Clever Leaves Correlation, Clever Leaves Hype Analysis, Clever Leaves Volatility, Clever Leaves History as well as Clever Leaves Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
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When running Clever Leaves' price analysis, check to measure Clever Leaves' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clever Leaves is operating at the current time. Most of Clever Leaves' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clever Leaves' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clever Leaves' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clever Leaves to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Clever Leaves' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clever Leaves. If investors know Clever will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Clever Leaves listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (12.63) | Revenue Per Share 11.111 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.054 | Return On Assets (0.23) | Return On Equity (0.61) |
The market value of Clever Leaves Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clever that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clever Leaves' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clever Leaves' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Clever Leaves' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clever Leaves' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Clever Leaves' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Clever Leaves is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Clever Leaves' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.