Columbia Moderate 529 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 38.16
| CMEGX Fund | USD 37.41 0.07 0.19% |
Columbia |
Columbia Moderate Target Price Odds to finish below 38.16
The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 38.16 after 90 days |
| 37.41 | 90 days | 38.16 | about 67.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Moderate to stay under $ 38.16 after 90 days from now is about 67.17 (This Columbia Moderate 529 probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Moderate 529 price to stay between its current price of $ 37.41 and $ 38.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Moderate has a beta of 0.64 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Columbia Moderate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Columbia Moderate 529 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Columbia Moderate 529 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Columbia Moderate Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Columbia Moderate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Moderate 529. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Columbia Moderate's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Columbia Moderate Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Moderate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Moderate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Moderate 529, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Moderate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Columbia Moderate Technical Analysis
Columbia Moderate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Moderate 529. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Columbia Moderate Predictive Forecast Models
Columbia Moderate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Moderate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Moderate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Columbia Moderate in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Columbia Moderate's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Columbia Moderate options trading.
Check out Columbia Moderate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Moderate Correlation, Columbia Moderate Hype Analysis, Columbia Moderate Volatility, Columbia Moderate History as well as Columbia Moderate Performance. Note that the Columbia Moderate 529 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Columbia Moderate's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Columbia Moderate's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Columbia Moderate is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Columbia Moderate's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.