Comtech Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.19

CMTL Stock

USD 12.19 0.33 2.64%

Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price is the expected price of Comtech Telecommunicatio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Comtech Telecommunications Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Comtech Telecommunicatio Price to Book Value is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current Price to Book Value is estimated at 0.76. Price to Sales Ratio is expected to rise to 0.76 this year, although the value of Price to Earnings Ratio will most likely fall to (6.59) .

Comtech Telecommunicatio's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Comtech Telecommunicatio based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Comtech Telecommunications Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2023-04-21 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on Comtech Telecommunicatio's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2023-04-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 28 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.35, and an ask price of $0.6. The implied volatility as of the 24th of March is 44.9841. View All Comtech options

Closest to current price Comtech long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Check out Comtech Telecommunicatio Backtesting, Comtech Telecommunicatio Valuation, Comtech Telecommunicatio Correlation, Comtech Telecommunicatio Hype Analysis, Comtech Telecommunicatio Volatility, Comtech Telecommunicatio History as well as Comtech Telecommunicatio Performance. For more information on how to buy Comtech Stock please use our How to buy in Comtech Stock guide.Please specify Comtech Telecommunicatio time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Comtech Telecommunicatio odds to be computed.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish over 12.19

The tendency of Comtech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds to move above the current price in 90 days
12.19	90 days	12.19	about 86.84

Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comtech Telecommunicatio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.84 (This Comtech Telecommunications Corp probability density function shows the probability of Comtech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.68 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Comtech Telecommunicatio will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0723, implying that it can generate a 0.0723 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Comtech Telecommunicatio Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for Comtech Telecommunicatio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comtech Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comtech Telecommunicatio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Comtech Telecommunicatio in the context of predictive analytics.

Hype

Prediction

Low	Estimated Value	High
8.89	12.24	15.59

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Real Value	High
10.82	14.16	17.52

Details

Naive

Forecast

Low	Next Value	High
8.56	11.91	15.25

Details

3 Analysts

Consensus

Low	Target Price	High
12.00	15.12	19.00

Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Comtech Telecommunicatio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Comtech Telecommunicatio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Comtech Telecommunicatio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Comtech Telecommunicatio.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comtech Telecommunicatio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comtech Telecommunicatio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comtech Telecommunications Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comtech Telecommunicatio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

α	Alpha over NYSE Composite	0.07	Details
β	Beta against NYSE Composite	1.68	Details
σ	Overall volatility	1.77	Details
Ir	Information ratio	0.014126	Details

Comtech Telecommunicatio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comtech Telecommunicatio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comtech Telecommunicatio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	Comtech Telecommunicatio has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
	The company reported the previous year's revenue of 486.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 180.94 M.
	Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
	On 17th of February 2023 Comtech Telecommunicatio paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
	Latest headline from businesswire.com: Comtech Awarded 29 Million for Blended Communications Technologies and Location Services

Comtech Telecommunicatio Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Comtech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Comtech Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comtech Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	26.5 M
	Cash And Short Term Investments	21.7 M

Comtech Telecommunicatio Technical Analysis

Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Comtech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Comtech Telecommunications Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Comtech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

	Cycle Indicators
	Math Operators
	Math Transform
	Momentum Indicators
	Overlap Studies
	Pattern Recognition
	Price Transform
	Statistic Functions
	Volatility Indicators
	Volume Indicators

Comtech Telecommunicatio Predictive Forecast Models

Comtech Telecommunicatio time-series forecasting models is one of many Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Comtech Telecommunicatio's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Comtech Telecommunicatio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Comtech Telecommunicatio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Comtech Telecommunicatio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	Comtech Telecommunicatio has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
	The company reported the previous year's revenue of 486.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 180.94 M.
	Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
	On 17th of February 2023 Comtech Telecommunicatio paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
	Latest headline from businesswire.com: Comtech Awarded 29 Million for Blended Communications Technologies and Location Services

Check out Comtech Telecommunicatio Backtesting, Comtech Telecommunicatio Valuation, Comtech Telecommunicatio Correlation, Comtech Telecommunicatio Hype Analysis, Comtech Telecommunicatio Volatility, Comtech Telecommunicatio History as well as Comtech Telecommunicatio Performance. For more information on how to buy Comtech Stock please use our How to buy in Comtech Stock guide. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Comtech Telecommunicatio price analysis, check to measure Comtech Telecommunicatio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comtech Telecommunicatio is operating at the current time. Most of Comtech Telecommunicatio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comtech Telecommunicatio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comtech Telecommunicatio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Comtech Telecommunicatio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comtech Telecommunicatio. If investors know Comtech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comtech Telecommunicatio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

5.87

Dividend Share

0.4

Earnings Share

(1.01)

Revenue Per Share

18.877

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.111

The market value of Comtech Telecommunicatio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comtech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comtech Telecommunicatio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comtech Telecommunicatio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comtech Telecommunicatio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comtech Telecommunicatio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Comtech Telecommunicatio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Comtech Telecommunicatio value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comtech Telecommunicatio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
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	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average

Comtech Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.19

Closest to current price Comtech long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Comtech Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish over 12.19

Predictive Modules for Comtech Telecommunicatio

Comtech Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators

Comtech Telecommunicatio Alerts and Suggestions

Comtech Telecommunicatio Price Density Drivers

Comtech Telecommunicatio Technical Analysis

Comtech Telecommunicatio Predictive Forecast Models

Things to note about Comtech Telecommunicatio

Complementary Tools for analysis

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