Capital One Financial Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 18.76

COF-PI Preferred Stock  USD 21.05  0.29  1.40%   
Capital One's future price is the expected price of Capital One instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital One Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capital One Backtesting, Capital One Valuation, Capital One Correlation, Capital One Hype Analysis, Capital One Volatility, Capital One History as well as Capital One Performance.
  
Please specify Capital One's target price for which you would like Capital One odds to be computed.

Capital One Target Price Odds to finish over 18.76

The tendency of Capital Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 18.76  in 90 days
 21.05 90 days 18.76 
about 90.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital One to stay above $ 18.76  in 90 days from now is about 90.53 (This Capital One Financial probability density function shows the probability of Capital Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital One Financial price to stay between $ 18.76  and its current price of $21.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capital One has a beta of 0.66 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Capital One average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital One Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capital One Financial has an alpha of 0.1078, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capital One Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital One Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0821.0522.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.9821.9522.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital One. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital One's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital One's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital One Financial.

Capital One Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital One is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital One's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital One Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital One within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Capital One Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding381.3 M

Capital One Technical Analysis

Capital One's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital One Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital One Predictive Forecast Models

Capital One's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital One's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital One's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Capital One in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Capital One's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Capital One options trading.
Check out Capital One Backtesting, Capital One Valuation, Capital One Correlation, Capital One Hype Analysis, Capital One Volatility, Capital One History as well as Capital One Performance.
Note that the Capital One Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Capital One's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.