Commscope Holding Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.06
| COMM Stock | USD 1.06 0.06 6.00% |
Closest to current price CommScope long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
CommScope |
CommScope Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 1.06
The tendency of CommScope Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.06 | 90 days | 1.06 | about 86.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CommScope Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.35 (This CommScope Holding Co probability density function shows the probability of CommScope Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.6 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CommScope Holding will likely underperform. Additionally CommScope Holding Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. CommScope Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CommScope Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CommScope Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CommScope Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CommScope Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CommScope Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CommScope Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CommScope Holding Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CommScope Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.36 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 3.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
CommScope Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CommScope Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CommScope Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CommScope Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CommScope Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CommScope Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (851.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.8 B. | |
| CommScope Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Jennifer Crawford of CommScope Holding subject to Rule 16b-3 |
CommScope Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CommScope Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CommScope Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CommScope Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 543.8 M |
CommScope Holding Technical Analysis
CommScope Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CommScope Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CommScope Holding Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing CommScope Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CommScope Holding Predictive Forecast Models
CommScope Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many CommScope Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CommScope Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CommScope Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about CommScope Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CommScope Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CommScope Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CommScope Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CommScope Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.79 B. Net Loss for the year was (851.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.8 B. | |
| CommScope Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Jennifer Crawford of CommScope Holding subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out CommScope Holding Backtesting, CommScope Holding Valuation, CommScope Holding Correlation, CommScope Holding Hype Analysis, CommScope Holding Volatility, CommScope Holding History as well as CommScope Holding Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for CommScope Stock analysis
When running CommScope Holding's price analysis, check to measure CommScope Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CommScope Holding is operating at the current time. Most of CommScope Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CommScope Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CommScope Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CommScope Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CommScope Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CommScope Holding. If investors know CommScope will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CommScope Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.33) | Revenue Per Share 27.45 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.49) | Return On Assets 0.0308 | Return On Equity (18.38) |
The market value of CommScope Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CommScope that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CommScope Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CommScope Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CommScope Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CommScope Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CommScope Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CommScope Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CommScope Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.