Traeger Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.95
| COOK Stock | USD 2.26 0.11 5.12% |
Closest to current price Traeger long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Traeger |
Traeger Target Price Odds to finish over 1.95
The tendency of Traeger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.95 in 90 days |
| 2.26 | 90 days | 1.95 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Traeger to stay above $ 1.95 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Traeger probability density function shows the probability of Traeger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Traeger price to stay between $ 1.95 and its current price of $2.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.62 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Traeger will likely underperform. Additionally Traeger has an alpha of 0.1012, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Traeger Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Traeger
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Traeger. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Traeger's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Traeger Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Traeger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Traeger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Traeger, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Traeger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 3.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Traeger Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Traeger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Traeger can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Traeger had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 605.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (84.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 228.77 M. | |
| Traeger has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Traeger CEO Jeremy Andrus buys shares worth over 497k |
Traeger Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Traeger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Traeger's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Traeger's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.9 M |
Traeger Technical Analysis
Traeger's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Traeger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Traeger. In general, you should focus on analyzing Traeger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Traeger Predictive Forecast Models
Traeger's time-series forecasting models is one of many Traeger's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Traeger's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Traeger
Checking the ongoing alerts about Traeger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Traeger help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Traeger had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 605.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (84.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 228.77 M. | |
| Traeger has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Traeger CEO Jeremy Andrus buys shares worth over 497k |
Check out Traeger Backtesting, Traeger Valuation, Traeger Correlation, Traeger Hype Analysis, Traeger Volatility, Traeger History as well as Traeger Performance. For more information on how to buy Traeger Stock please use our How to buy in Traeger Stock guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Traeger Stock analysis
When running Traeger's price analysis, check to measure Traeger's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Traeger is operating at the current time. Most of Traeger's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Traeger's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Traeger's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Traeger to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios |
Is Traeger's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Traeger. If investors know Traeger will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Traeger listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.63) | Revenue Per Share 4.806 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets (0.03) | Return On Equity (0.25) |
The market value of Traeger is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Traeger that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Traeger's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Traeger's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Traeger's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Traeger's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Traeger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Traeger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Traeger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.