Americas Car Mart Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 159.16

CRMT Stock  USD 60.24  2.25  3.60%   
Americas Car's future price is the expected price of Americas Car instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Americas Car Mart performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Americas Car Backtesting, Americas Car Valuation, Americas Car Correlation, Americas Car Hype Analysis, Americas Car Volatility, Americas Car History as well as Americas Car Performance.
  
Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 24.10 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.41 in 2024. Please specify Americas Car's target price for which you would like Americas Car odds to be computed.

Americas Car Target Price Odds to finish over 159.16

The tendency of Americas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 159.16  or more in 90 days
 60.24 90 days 159.16 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Americas Car to move over $ 159.16  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Americas Car Mart probability density function shows the probability of Americas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Americas Car-Mart price to stay between its current price of $ 60.24  and $ 159.16  at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.41 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.07 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Americas Car will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Americas Car-Mart is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Americas Car Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Americas Car

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Americas Car-Mart. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Americas Car's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Americas Car in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.2259.6963.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.2273.5977.06
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
83.7292.00102.12
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.440.32-0.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Americas Car. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Americas Car's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Americas Car's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Americas Car-Mart.

Americas Car Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Americas Car is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Americas Car's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Americas Car Mart, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Americas Car within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.32
β
Beta against NYSE Composite3.07
σ
Overall volatility
5.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Americas Car Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Americas Car for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Americas Car-Mart can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Americas Car-Mart generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Americas Car-Mart has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Americas Car Mart currently holds about 4.36 M in cash with (137.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.69.
Americas Car-Mart has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why Americas Car-Mart Stock Might be a Great Pick - Yahoo Lifestyle Australia

Americas Car Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Americas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Americas Car's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americas Car's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.8 M

Americas Car Technical Analysis

Americas Car's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Americas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Americas Car Mart. In general, you should focus on analyzing Americas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Americas Car Predictive Forecast Models

Americas Car's time-series forecasting models is one of many Americas Car's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Americas Car's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Americas Car-Mart

Checking the ongoing alerts about Americas Car for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Americas Car-Mart help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Americas Car-Mart generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Americas Car-Mart has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Americas Car Mart currently holds about 4.36 M in cash with (137.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.69.
Americas Car-Mart has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why Americas Car-Mart Stock Might be a Great Pick - Yahoo Lifestyle Australia
When determining whether Americas Car-Mart is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Americas Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Americas Car Mart Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Americas Car Mart Stock:

Complementary Tools for Americas Stock analysis

When running Americas Car's price analysis, check to measure Americas Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Americas Car is operating at the current time. Most of Americas Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Americas Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Americas Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Americas Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Americas Car's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Americas Car. If investors know Americas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Americas Car listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Earnings Share
(4.67)
Revenue Per Share
221.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Return On Assets
0.0098
The market value of Americas Car-Mart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Americas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Americas Car's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Americas Car's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Americas Car's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Americas Car's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Americas Car's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Americas Car is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Americas Car's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.