Crucible Acquisition Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.88
| CRUDelisted Stock | USD 10.05 0.01 0.1% |
Crucible |
Crucible Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 9.88
The tendency of Crucible Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.88 or more in 90 days |
| 10.05 | 90 days | 9.88 | about 7.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crucible Acquisition to drop to $ 9.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.61 (This Crucible Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Crucible Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crucible Acquisition Corp price to stay between $ 9.88 and its current price of $10.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.04 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Crucible Acquisition Corp has a beta of -0.001 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Crucible Acquisition are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Crucible Acquisition Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Crucible Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.016, implying that it can generate a 0.016 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Crucible Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Crucible Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crucible Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crucible Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Crucible Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crucible Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crucible Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crucible Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crucible Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.001 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Crucible Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crucible Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crucible Acquisition Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crucible Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Crucible Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Crucible Acquisition Corp has about 544.07 K in cash with (3.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Crucible Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crucible Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crucible Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crucible Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 165.09 |
Crucible Acquisition Technical Analysis
Crucible Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crucible Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crucible Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crucible Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crucible Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Crucible Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crucible Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crucible Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crucible Acquisition Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crucible Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crucible Acquisition Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crucible Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Crucible Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Crucible Acquisition Corp has about 544.07 K in cash with (3.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Other Consideration for investing in Crucible Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Crucible Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Crucible Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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