Crowdstrike Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 322.25

CRWD Stock  USD 322.25  7.76  2.35%   
Crowdstrike Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Crowdstrike Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Crowdstrike Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Crowdstrike Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $322.5 is a CALL option contract on Crowdstrike Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 322.5 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:53:48 for $2.55 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.37, and an ask price of $2.64. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 39.67. View All Crowdstrike options

Closest to current price Crowdstrike long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Crowdstrike Holdings' future price is the expected price of Crowdstrike Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crowdstrike Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crowdstrike Holdings Backtesting, Crowdstrike Holdings Valuation, Crowdstrike Holdings Correlation, Crowdstrike Holdings Hype Analysis, Crowdstrike Holdings Volatility, Crowdstrike Holdings History as well as Crowdstrike Holdings Performance.
For information on how to trade Crowdstrike Stock refer to our How to Trade Crowdstrike Stock guide.
  
At present, Crowdstrike Holdings' Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 62.85, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to grow to (5.04). Please specify Crowdstrike Holdings' target price for which you would like Crowdstrike Holdings odds to be computed.

Crowdstrike Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 322.25

The tendency of Crowdstrike Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 322.25 90 days 322.25 
about 21.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crowdstrike Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.93 (This Crowdstrike Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Crowdstrike Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.64 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Crowdstrike Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Crowdstrike Holdings has an alpha of 0.1694, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crowdstrike Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crowdstrike Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crowdstrike Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crowdstrike Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
321.67324.66327.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
253.71256.70354.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
325.08328.07331.06
Details
51 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
179.82197.60219.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crowdstrike Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crowdstrike Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crowdstrike Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crowdstrike Holdings.

Crowdstrike Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crowdstrike Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crowdstrike Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crowdstrike Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crowdstrike Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.64
σ
Overall volatility
26.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Crowdstrike Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crowdstrike Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crowdstrike Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crowdstrike Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Crowdstrike Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CrowdStrike Falcon XDR to Improve HCLTechs MDR Solution

Crowdstrike Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crowdstrike Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crowdstrike Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crowdstrike Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding243.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 B

Crowdstrike Holdings Technical Analysis

Crowdstrike Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crowdstrike Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crowdstrike Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crowdstrike Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crowdstrike Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Crowdstrike Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Crowdstrike Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crowdstrike Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crowdstrike Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crowdstrike Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crowdstrike Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crowdstrike Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Crowdstrike Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CrowdStrike Falcon XDR to Improve HCLTechs MDR Solution
When determining whether Crowdstrike Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Crowdstrike Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Crowdstrike Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Crowdstrike Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Crowdstrike Stock analysis

When running Crowdstrike Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Crowdstrike Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crowdstrike Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Crowdstrike Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crowdstrike Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crowdstrike Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crowdstrike Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Earnings Calls
Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Is Crowdstrike Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crowdstrike Holdings. If investors know Crowdstrike will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crowdstrike Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.36
Revenue Per Share
12.804
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.326
Return On Assets
(0.0002)
Return On Equity
0.0474
The market value of Crowdstrike Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crowdstrike that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crowdstrike Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crowdstrike Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crowdstrike Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crowdstrike Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crowdstrike Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crowdstrike Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crowdstrike Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.