China Solar Cln Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.04

CSOL Stock  USD 0.04  0.01  33.33%   
China Solar's future price is the expected price of China Solar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of China Solar Cln performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out China Solar Backtesting, China Solar Valuation, China Solar Correlation, China Solar Hype Analysis, China Solar Volatility, China Solar History as well as China Solar Performance.
  
Please specify China Solar's target price for which you would like China Solar odds to be computed.

China Solar Target Price Odds to finish over 0.04

The tendency of China Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 34.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Solar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 34.0 (This China Solar Cln probability density function shows the probability of China Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.56 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, China Solar will likely underperform. In addition to that China Solar Cln has an alpha of 3.3886, implying that it can generate a 3.39 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   China Solar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Solar Cln. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0427.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0327.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0527.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Solar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Solar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Solar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Solar Cln.

China Solar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Solar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Solar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Solar Cln, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Solar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
3.39
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.56
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

China Solar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Solar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Solar Cln can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Solar Cln is way too risky over 90 days horizon
China Solar Cln has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
China Solar Cln appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
China Solar Cln currently holds about 6.45 M in cash with (951.64 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

China Solar Technical Analysis

China Solar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Solar Cln. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

China Solar Predictive Forecast Models

China Solar's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Solar's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Solar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about China Solar Cln

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Solar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Solar Cln help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Solar Cln is way too risky over 90 days horizon
China Solar Cln has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
China Solar Cln appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
China Solar Cln currently holds about 6.45 M in cash with (951.64 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out China Solar Backtesting, China Solar Valuation, China Solar Correlation, China Solar Hype Analysis, China Solar Volatility, China Solar History as well as China Solar Performance.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis

When running China Solar's price analysis, check to measure China Solar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Solar is operating at the current time. Most of China Solar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Solar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Solar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Solar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between China Solar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Solar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Solar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.