Cto Realty Growth Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 64.0
| CTO Stock | USD 17.09 0.11 0.65% |
CTO |
CTO Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 64.0
The tendency of CTO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 64.00 or more in 90 days |
| 17.09 | 90 days | 64.00 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CTO Realty to move over $ 64.00 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This CTO Realty Growth probability density function shows the probability of CTO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CTO Realty Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 17.09 and $ 64.00 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 suggesting CTO Realty Growth market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CTO Realty is expected to follow. Additionally CTO Realty Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. CTO Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CTO Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CTO Realty Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CTO Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CTO Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CTO Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CTO Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CTO Realty Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CTO Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
CTO Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CTO Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CTO Realty Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of March 2024 CTO Realty paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Citigold charting course to unlock full potential of Charters Towers Gold Project |
CTO Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CTO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CTO Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CTO Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.8 M |
CTO Realty Technical Analysis
CTO Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CTO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CTO Realty Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing CTO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CTO Realty Predictive Forecast Models
CTO Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many CTO Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CTO Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CTO Realty Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about CTO Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CTO Realty Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 28th of March 2024 CTO Realty paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Citigold charting course to unlock full potential of Charters Towers Gold Project |
Check out CTO Realty Backtesting, CTO Realty Valuation, CTO Realty Correlation, CTO Realty Hype Analysis, CTO Realty Volatility, CTO Realty History as well as CTO Realty Performance. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Complementary Tools for CTO Stock analysis
When running CTO Realty's price analysis, check to measure CTO Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CTO Realty is operating at the current time. Most of CTO Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CTO Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CTO Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CTO Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CTO Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CTO Realty. If investors know CTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CTO Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Dividend Share 1.52 | Earnings Share 0.03 | Revenue Per Share 4.843 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.326 |
The market value of CTO Realty Growth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CTO Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CTO Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CTO Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CTO Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CTO Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CTO Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CTO Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.