Dave Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.44

DAVE Stock  USD 34.11  0.21  0.62%   
Dave's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Dave Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Dave based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Dave Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $35.0 is a CALL option contract on Dave's common stock with a strick price of 35.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-10 at 10:00:07 for $2.7 and, as of today, has 1 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.85, and an ask price of $2.55. The implied volatility as of the 18th of April 2024 is 138.34. View All Dave options

Closest to current price Dave long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Dave's future price is the expected price of Dave instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dave Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dave Backtesting, Dave Valuation, Dave Correlation, Dave Hype Analysis, Dave Volatility, Dave History as well as Dave Performance.
  
At present, Dave's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 4.18, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is projected to grow to (1.96). Please specify Dave's target price for which you would like Dave odds to be computed.

Dave Target Price Odds to finish over 7.44

The tendency of Dave Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 7.44  in 90 days
 34.11 90 days 7.44 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dave to stay above $ 7.44  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Dave Inc probability density function shows the probability of Dave Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dave Inc price to stay between $ 7.44  and its current price of $34.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.71 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Dave Inc has a beta of -0.22 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dave are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dave Inc is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Dave Inc has an alpha of 2.3646, implying that it can generate a 2.36 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dave Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dave

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dave Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dave's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6432.4043.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.4516.2137.29
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.236.857.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dave. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dave's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dave's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dave Inc.

Dave Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dave is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dave's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dave Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dave within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
2.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
9.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Dave Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dave for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dave Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dave Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Dave Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 259.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 110.1 M.
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Q1 2025 EPS Estimates for Dave Busters Entertainment Inc Reduced by Zacks Research - MarketBeat

Dave Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dave Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dave's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dave's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments155.9 M

Dave Technical Analysis

Dave's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dave Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dave Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dave Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dave Predictive Forecast Models

Dave's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dave's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dave's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dave Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dave for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dave Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dave Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Dave Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 259.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 110.1 M.
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Q1 2025 EPS Estimates for Dave Busters Entertainment Inc Reduced by Zacks Research - MarketBeat
When determining whether Dave Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dave's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dave's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dave Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Dave Backtesting, Dave Valuation, Dave Correlation, Dave Hype Analysis, Dave Volatility, Dave History as well as Dave Performance.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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When running Dave's price analysis, check to measure Dave's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dave is operating at the current time. Most of Dave's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dave's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dave's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dave to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dave's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dave. If investors know Dave will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dave listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(4.07)
Revenue Per Share
21.709
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.225
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(0.50)
The market value of Dave Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dave that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dave's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dave's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dave's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dave's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dave's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dave is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dave's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.