Delivery Hero Se Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 3.02

DELHY Stock  USD 3.02  0.10  3.21%   
Delivery Hero's future price is the expected price of Delivery Hero instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Delivery Hero SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Delivery Hero Backtesting, Delivery Hero Valuation, Delivery Hero Correlation, Delivery Hero Hype Analysis, Delivery Hero Volatility, Delivery Hero History as well as Delivery Hero Performance.
  
Please specify Delivery Hero's target price for which you would like Delivery Hero odds to be computed.

Delivery Hero Target Price Odds to finish over 3.02

The tendency of Delivery Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.02 90 days 3.02 
about 19.31
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delivery Hero to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.31 (This Delivery Hero SE probability density function shows the probability of Delivery Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.52 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Delivery Hero will likely underperform. Additionally Delivery Hero SE has an alpha of 0.3698, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Delivery Hero Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Delivery Hero

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delivery Hero SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delivery Hero's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.028.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.367.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.658.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.873.023.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Delivery Hero. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Delivery Hero's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Delivery Hero's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Delivery Hero SE.

Delivery Hero Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delivery Hero is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delivery Hero's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delivery Hero SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delivery Hero within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.37
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Delivery Hero Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delivery Hero for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delivery Hero SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delivery Hero SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Delivery Hero SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 5.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.1 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.26 B.
Delivery Hero SE has accumulated about 3.06 B in cash with (901.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.17.

Delivery Hero Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delivery Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delivery Hero's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delivery Hero's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding243.2 M

Delivery Hero Technical Analysis

Delivery Hero's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delivery Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delivery Hero SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delivery Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Delivery Hero Predictive Forecast Models

Delivery Hero's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delivery Hero's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delivery Hero's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Delivery Hero SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Delivery Hero for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delivery Hero SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Delivery Hero SE had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Delivery Hero SE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 5.86 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.1 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.26 B.
Delivery Hero SE has accumulated about 3.06 B in cash with (901.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.17.
Check out Delivery Hero Backtesting, Delivery Hero Valuation, Delivery Hero Correlation, Delivery Hero Hype Analysis, Delivery Hero Volatility, Delivery Hero History as well as Delivery Hero Performance.
Note that the Delivery Hero SE information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Delivery Hero's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Delivery Pink Sheet analysis

When running Delivery Hero's price analysis, check to measure Delivery Hero's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delivery Hero is operating at the current time. Most of Delivery Hero's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delivery Hero's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delivery Hero's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delivery Hero to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Delivery Hero's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delivery Hero is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delivery Hero's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.