Dun Bradstreet Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.06
| DNB Stock | USD 9.31 0.12 1.31% |
Closest to current price Dun long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Dun |
Dun Bradstreet Target Price Odds to finish below 21.06
The tendency of Dun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 21.06 after 90 days |
| 9.31 | 90 days | 21.06 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dun Bradstreet to stay under $ 21.06 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Dun Bradstreet Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Dun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dun Bradstreet Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 9.31 and $ 21.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.74 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dun Bradstreet Holdings has a beta of -0.0227 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dun Bradstreet are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dun Bradstreet Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dun Bradstreet Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Dun Bradstreet Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dun Bradstreet
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dun Bradstreet Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dun Bradstreet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dun Bradstreet Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dun Bradstreet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dun Bradstreet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dun Bradstreet Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dun Bradstreet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Dun Bradstreet Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dun Bradstreet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dun Bradstreet Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dun Bradstreet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 3.55 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.04, which is OK given its current industry classification. Dun Bradstreet Holdings has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Dun Bradstreet until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dun Bradstreet's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dun Bradstreet Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dun to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dun Bradstreet's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.31 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (47 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.5 B. | |
| Over 95.0% of Dun Bradstreet shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 21st of March 2024 Dun Bradstreet paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Corporate vs. small business cards Which is better for credit building |
Dun Bradstreet Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dun Bradstreet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dun Bradstreet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 430.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 188.1 M |
Dun Bradstreet Technical Analysis
Dun Bradstreet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dun Bradstreet Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dun Bradstreet Predictive Forecast Models
Dun Bradstreet's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dun Bradstreet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dun Bradstreet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dun Bradstreet Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dun Bradstreet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dun Bradstreet Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dun Bradstreet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 3.55 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.04, which is OK given its current industry classification. Dun Bradstreet Holdings has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Dun Bradstreet until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dun Bradstreet's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dun Bradstreet Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dun to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dun Bradstreet's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.31 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (47 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.5 B. | |
| Over 95.0% of Dun Bradstreet shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 21st of March 2024 Dun Bradstreet paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Corporate vs. small business cards Which is better for credit building |
Check out Dun Bradstreet Backtesting, Dun Bradstreet Valuation, Dun Bradstreet Correlation, Dun Bradstreet Hype Analysis, Dun Bradstreet Volatility, Dun Bradstreet History as well as Dun Bradstreet Performance. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for Dun Stock analysis
When running Dun Bradstreet's price analysis, check to measure Dun Bradstreet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dun Bradstreet is operating at the current time. Most of Dun Bradstreet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dun Bradstreet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dun Bradstreet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dun Bradstreet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments |
Is Dun Bradstreet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dun Bradstreet. If investors know Dun will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dun Bradstreet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share (0.11) | Revenue Per Share 5.375 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 |
The market value of Dun Bradstreet Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dun that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dun Bradstreet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dun Bradstreet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dun Bradstreet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dun Bradstreet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dun Bradstreet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dun Bradstreet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dun Bradstreet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.