Dunham Large Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 18.11
| DNLVX Fund | USD 18.39 0.07 0.38% |
Dunham |
Dunham Large Target Price Odds to finish below 18.11
The tendency of Dunham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.11 or more in 90 days |
| 18.39 | 90 days | 18.11 | about 34.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunham Large to drop to $ 18.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.89 (This Dunham Large Cap probability density function shows the probability of Dunham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dunham Large Cap price to stay between $ 18.11 and its current price of $18.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham Large has a beta of 0.93 suggesting Dunham Large Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dunham Large is expected to follow. Additionally Dunham Large Cap has an alpha of 0.0308, implying that it can generate a 0.0308 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dunham Large Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dunham Large
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunham Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dunham Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dunham Large Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunham Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunham Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunham Large Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunham Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Dunham Large Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dunham Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dunham Large Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains 97.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Dunham Large Technical Analysis
Dunham Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dunham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dunham Large Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dunham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dunham Large Predictive Forecast Models
Dunham Large's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dunham Large's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dunham Large's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dunham Large Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dunham Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dunham Large Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains 97.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Dunham Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Dunham Large Correlation, Dunham Large Hype Analysis, Dunham Large Volatility, Dunham Large History as well as Dunham Large Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.