Dominos Pizza Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 481.16

DPZ Stock  USD 481.16  9.88  2.10%   
Dominos Pizza's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Dominos Pizza. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Dominos Pizza based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Dominos Pizza over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-26 CALL at $480.0 is a CALL option contract on Dominos Pizza's common stock with a strick price of 480.0 expiring on 2024-04-26. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-22 at 15:20:13 for $2.0 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.65, and an ask price of $2.0. The implied volatility as of the 23rd of April is 30.22. View All Dominos options

Closest to current price Dominos long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Dominos Pizza's future price is the expected price of Dominos Pizza instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dominos Pizza performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dominos Pizza Backtesting, Dominos Pizza Valuation, Dominos Pizza Correlation, Dominos Pizza Hype Analysis, Dominos Pizza Volatility, Dominos Pizza History as well as Dominos Pizza Performance.
For more information on how to buy Dominos Stock please use our How to Invest in Dominos Pizza guide.
  
At this time, Dominos Pizza's Price To Sales Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to rise to 1.73 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 20.64 in 2024. Please specify Dominos Pizza's target price for which you would like Dominos Pizza odds to be computed.

Dominos Pizza Target Price Odds to finish over 481.16

The tendency of Dominos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 481.16 90 days 481.16 
about 14.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dominos Pizza to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.77 (This Dominos Pizza probability density function shows the probability of Dominos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dominos Pizza has a beta of 0.95 suggesting Dominos Pizza market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dominos Pizza is expected to follow. Additionally Dominos Pizza has an alpha of 0.0852, implying that it can generate a 0.0852 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dominos Pizza Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dominos Pizza

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dominos Pizza. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dominos Pizza's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
468.99470.60472.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
424.15486.25487.86
Details
33 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
374.62411.67456.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.013.403.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dominos Pizza. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dominos Pizza's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dominos Pizza's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Dominos Pizza.

Dominos Pizza Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dominos Pizza is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dominos Pizza's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dominos Pizza, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dominos Pizza within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.95
σ
Overall volatility
28.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Dominos Pizza Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dominos Pizza for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dominos Pizza can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 530 shares by Jackson Sam of Dominos Pizza at 300.16 subject to Rule 16b-3

Dominos Pizza Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dominos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dominos Pizza's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dominos Pizza's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments114.1 M

Dominos Pizza Technical Analysis

Dominos Pizza's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dominos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dominos Pizza. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dominos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dominos Pizza Predictive Forecast Models

Dominos Pizza's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dominos Pizza's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dominos Pizza's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dominos Pizza

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dominos Pizza for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dominos Pizza help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 530 shares by Jackson Sam of Dominos Pizza at 300.16 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Dominos Pizza offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Dominos Pizza's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Dominos Pizza Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Dominos Pizza Stock:
Check out Dominos Pizza Backtesting, Dominos Pizza Valuation, Dominos Pizza Correlation, Dominos Pizza Hype Analysis, Dominos Pizza Volatility, Dominos Pizza History as well as Dominos Pizza Performance.
For more information on how to buy Dominos Stock please use our How to Invest in Dominos Pizza guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for Dominos Stock analysis

When running Dominos Pizza's price analysis, check to measure Dominos Pizza's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dominos Pizza is operating at the current time. Most of Dominos Pizza's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dominos Pizza's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dominos Pizza's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dominos Pizza to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dominos Pizza's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dominos Pizza. If investors know Dominos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dominos Pizza listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.301
Dividend Share
4.84
Earnings Share
14.66
Revenue Per Share
127.683
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.031
The market value of Dominos Pizza is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dominos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dominos Pizza's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dominos Pizza's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dominos Pizza's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dominos Pizza's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dominos Pizza's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dominos Pizza is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dominos Pizza's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.