Comstock Capital Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 3.6

DRCVX Fund  USD 3.98  0.02  0.51%   
Comstock Capital's future price is the expected price of Comstock Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Comstock Capital Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Comstock Capital Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Comstock Capital Correlation, Comstock Capital Hype Analysis, Comstock Capital Volatility, Comstock Capital History as well as Comstock Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Comstock Capital's target price for which you would like Comstock Capital odds to be computed.

Comstock Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 3.6

The tendency of Comstock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 3.60  in 90 days
 3.98 90 days 3.60 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comstock Capital to stay above $ 3.60  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Comstock Capital Value probability density function shows the probability of Comstock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Comstock Capital Value price to stay between $ 3.60  and its current price of $3.98 at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Comstock Capital Value has a beta of -0.009 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Comstock Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Comstock Capital Value is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Comstock Capital Value has an alpha of 0.0127, implying that it can generate a 0.0127 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Comstock Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Comstock Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comstock Capital Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comstock Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.733.984.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.503.754.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.733.984.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.953.973.99
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Comstock Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Comstock Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Comstock Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Comstock Capital Value.

Comstock Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comstock Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comstock Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comstock Capital Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comstock Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.009
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Comstock Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comstock Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comstock Capital Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comstock Capital Value generated-17.0 ten year return of -17.0%
This fund retains about 21.45% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Comstock Capital Technical Analysis

Comstock Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Comstock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Comstock Capital Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Comstock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Comstock Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Comstock Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Comstock Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Comstock Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Comstock Capital Value

Checking the ongoing alerts about Comstock Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Comstock Capital Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Comstock Capital Value generated-17.0 ten year return of -17.0%
This fund retains about 21.45% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Check out Comstock Capital Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Comstock Capital Correlation, Comstock Capital Hype Analysis, Comstock Capital Volatility, Comstock Capital History as well as Comstock Capital Performance.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for Comstock Mutual Fund analysis

When running Comstock Capital's price analysis, check to measure Comstock Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comstock Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Comstock Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comstock Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comstock Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comstock Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Comstock Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comstock Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comstock Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.