Duos Technologies Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.09
| DUOT Stock | USD 3.09 0.01 0.32% |
Duos |
Duos Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 3.09
The tendency of Duos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.09 | 90 days | 3.09 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duos Technologies to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Duos Technologies Group probability density function shows the probability of Duos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.67 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Duos Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Duos Technologies Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Duos Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Duos Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duos Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duos Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Duos Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duos Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duos Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duos Technologies Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duos Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Duos Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duos Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duos Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Duos Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Duos Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Duos Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.24 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.56 M). | |
| Duos Technologies Group currently holds about 6.27 M in cash with (8.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.03. | |
| Duos Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Short Interest in Duos Technologies Group, Inc. Drops By 5.0 percent - Defense World |
Duos Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duos Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duos Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Duos Technologies Technical Analysis
Duos Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duos Technologies Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Duos Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Duos Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Duos Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duos Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Duos Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Duos Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duos Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Duos Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Duos Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Duos Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.24 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.56 M). | |
| Duos Technologies Group currently holds about 6.27 M in cash with (8.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.03. | |
| Duos Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Short Interest in Duos Technologies Group, Inc. Drops By 5.0 percent - Defense World |
Check out Duos Technologies Backtesting, Duos Technologies Valuation, Duos Technologies Correlation, Duos Technologies Hype Analysis, Duos Technologies Volatility, Duos Technologies History as well as Duos Technologies Performance. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Complementary Tools for Duos Stock analysis
When running Duos Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Duos Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Duos Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Duos Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Duos Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Duos Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Duos Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Duos Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duos Technologies. If investors know Duos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duos Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.56) | Revenue Per Share 1.037 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.74) | Return On Assets (0.55) | Return On Equity (2.39) |
The market value of Duos Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duos Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duos Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duos Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duos Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duos Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duos Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duos Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.