Ecb Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.47
| ECBK Stock | USD 12.61 0.04 0.32% |
ECB |
ECB Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 14.47
The tendency of ECB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 14.47 after 90 days |
| 12.61 | 90 days | 14.47 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ECB Bancorp to stay under $ 14.47 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ECB Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of ECB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ECB Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 12.61 and $ 14.47 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ECB Bancorp has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ECB Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ECB Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ECB Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. ECB Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ECB Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECB Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ECB Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ECB Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ECB Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ECB Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ECB Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ECB Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
ECB Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ECB Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ECB Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ECB Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Interest Rates Inflation European Central Bank Keeps Rates At Record Highs - Forbes |
ECB Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ECB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ECB Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ECB Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -3.8 M |
ECB Bancorp Technical Analysis
ECB Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ECB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ECB Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing ECB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ECB Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
ECB Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many ECB Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ECB Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ECB Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about ECB Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ECB Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ECB Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Interest Rates Inflation European Central Bank Keeps Rates At Record Highs - Forbes |
Check out ECB Bancorp Backtesting, ECB Bancorp Valuation, ECB Bancorp Correlation, ECB Bancorp Hype Analysis, ECB Bancorp Volatility, ECB Bancorp History as well as ECB Bancorp Performance. For more information on how to buy ECB Stock please use our How to buy in ECB Stock guide.Note that the ECB Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ECB Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for ECB Stock analysis
When running ECB Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure ECB Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ECB Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of ECB Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ECB Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ECB Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ECB Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ECB Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ECB Bancorp. If investors know ECB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ECB Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Earnings Share 0.52 | Revenue Per Share 2.958 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets 0.0038 |
The market value of ECB Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ECB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ECB Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ECB Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ECB Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ECB Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ECB Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ECB Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ECB Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.