Ecgi Holdings OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 44.01

ECGI
 Stock
  

USD 0.17  0.04  19.05%   

Ecgi Holdings' future price is the expected price of Ecgi Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ecgi Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Continue to Ecgi Holdings Backtesting, Ecgi Holdings Valuation, Ecgi Holdings Correlation, Ecgi Holdings Hype Analysis, Ecgi Holdings Volatility, Ecgi Holdings History as well as Ecgi Holdings Performance. Please specify Ecgi Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ecgi Holdings odds to be computed.
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Ecgi Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 44.01

The tendency of Ecgi Holdings OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 44.01  or more in 90 days
 0.17 90 days 44.01  close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ecgi Holdings to move over $ 44.01  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ecgi Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Ecgi Holdings OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ecgi Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.17  and $ 44.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.96 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ecgi Holdings has a beta of -0.12 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Ecgi Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Ecgi Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Moreover The company has an alpha of 1.5814, implying that it can generate a 1.58 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Ecgi Holdings Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Ecgi Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecgi Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ecgi Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ecgi Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.010.177.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.010.147.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0034180.177.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.150.190.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ecgi Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ecgi Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ecgi Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ecgi Holdings.

Ecgi Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ecgi Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ecgi Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ecgi Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ecgi Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
1.58
β
Beta against DOW-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.036129
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Ecgi Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ecgi Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ecgi Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ecgi Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ecgi Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ecgi Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ecgi Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 1.26 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ecgi Holdings has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Ecgi Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ecgi Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ecgi Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ecgi Holdings to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ecgi Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (3.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Ecgi Holdings currently holds about 71.25 K in cash with (1.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 46.0% of Ecgi Holdings shares are held by company insiders

Ecgi Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ecgi Holdings OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ecgi Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ecgi Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares2.98M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month270

Ecgi Holdings Technical Analysis

Ecgi Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ecgi Holdings OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ecgi Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ecgi Holdings OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ecgi Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Ecgi Holdings time-series forecasting models is one of many Ecgi Holdings' otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ecgi Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ecgi Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ecgi Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ecgi Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Ecgi Holdings Alerts

Ecgi Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

Ecgi Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ecgi Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Ecgi Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ecgi Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 1.26 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ecgi Holdings has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Ecgi Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ecgi Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ecgi Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ecgi Holdings to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ecgi Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (3.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Ecgi Holdings currently holds about 71.25 K in cash with (1.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 46.0% of Ecgi Holdings shares are held by company insiders
Continue to Ecgi Holdings Backtesting, Ecgi Holdings Valuation, Ecgi Holdings Correlation, Ecgi Holdings Hype Analysis, Ecgi Holdings Volatility, Ecgi Holdings History as well as Ecgi Holdings Performance. Note that the Ecgi Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ecgi Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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Is Ecgi Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ecgi Holdings. If investors know Ecgi Holdings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ecgi Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
1.7 M
Return On Assets
-0.2
The market value of Ecgi Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ecgi Holdings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ecgi Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ecgi Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ecgi Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ecgi Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ecgi Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ecgi Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ecgi Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.