Channeladvisor Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.88

ECOM -  USA Stock  

USD 26.88  0.08  0.30%

Channeladvisor Corp's future price is the expected price of Channeladvisor Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Channeladvisor Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is expected to hike to 3.68 this year. Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to hike to 26.12 this year.

Channeladvisor Price Probability 

 
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Channeladvisor Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Channeladvisor Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Channeladvisor Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Channeladvisor Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2021-11-19 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Channeladvisor Corp's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2021-11-19. The contract was last traded on 2021-10-21 at 13:19:43 for $2.76 and, as of today, has 24 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.55, and an ask price of $2.85. The implied volatility as of the 25th of October is 58.6036. View All Channeladvisor options

Closest to current price Channeladvisor long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Continue to Channeladvisor Corp Backtesting, Channeladvisor Corp Valuation, Channeladvisor Corp Correlation, Channeladvisor Corp Hype Analysis, Channeladvisor Corp Volatility, Channeladvisor Corp History as well as Channeladvisor Corp Performance. Please specify Channeladvisor Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Channeladvisor Corp odds to be computed.
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Channeladvisor Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 26.88

The tendency of Channeladvisor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.88 90 days 26.88  about 13.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Channeladvisor Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 13.85 (This Channeladvisor Corp probability density function shows the probability of Channeladvisor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.51 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Channeladvisor Corp will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2212, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Channeladvisor Corp Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Channeladvisor Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Channeladvisor Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Channeladvisor Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Channeladvisor Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
24.5426.7528.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
24.1931.2633.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
25.7327.9430.15
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
30.0033.5036.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Channeladvisor Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Channeladvisor Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Channeladvisor Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Channeladvisor Corp.

Channeladvisor Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Channeladvisor Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Channeladvisor Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Channeladvisor Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Channeladvisor Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.22
β
Beta against DOW1.51
σ
Overall volatility
1.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Channeladvisor Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Channeladvisor Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Channeladvisor Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Channeladvisor Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Channeladvisor Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.equities.com: ChannelAdvisor gains 0.26 percent for October 22 - Equities.com

Channeladvisor Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Channeladvisor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Channeladvisor Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Channeladvisor Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.51%
Short Percent Of Float1.55%
Float Shares27.26M
Shares Short Prior Month419.14k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day81.01k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month148.43k
Date Short Interest13th of August 2021

Channeladvisor Corp Technical Analysis

Channeladvisor Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Channeladvisor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Channeladvisor Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Channeladvisor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Channeladvisor Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Channeladvisor Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Channeladvisor Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Channeladvisor Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Channeladvisor Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Channeladvisor Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Channeladvisor Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Channeladvisor Corp Alerts

Channeladvisor Corp Alerts and Suggestions

Channeladvisor Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Channeladvisor Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.equities.com: ChannelAdvisor gains 0.26 percent for October 22 - Equities.com
Continue to Channeladvisor Corp Backtesting, Channeladvisor Corp Valuation, Channeladvisor Corp Correlation, Channeladvisor Corp Hype Analysis, Channeladvisor Corp Volatility, Channeladvisor Corp History as well as Channeladvisor Corp Performance. Note that the Channeladvisor Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Channeladvisor Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Channeladvisor Stock analysis

When running Channeladvisor Corp price analysis, check to measure Channeladvisor Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Channeladvisor Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Channeladvisor Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Channeladvisor Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Channeladvisor Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Channeladvisor Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Channeladvisor Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Channeladvisor Corp. If investors know Channeladvisor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Channeladvisor Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Channeladvisor Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Channeladvisor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Channeladvisor Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Channeladvisor Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Channeladvisor Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Channeladvisor Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Channeladvisor Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Channeladvisor Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Channeladvisor Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.