Eurodry Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.27

EDRY
 Stock
  

USD 18.21  0.17  0.94%   

Eurodry's future price is the expected price of Eurodry instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eurodry performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to rise to 1.68 in 2022, whereas Price to Book Value is likely to drop 0.64 in 2022.
  
Continue to Eurodry Backtesting, Eurodry Valuation, Eurodry Correlation, Eurodry Hype Analysis, Eurodry Volatility, Eurodry History as well as Eurodry Performance. Please specify Eurodry time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Eurodry odds to be computed.

Eurodry Target Price Odds to finish over 17.27

The tendency of Eurodry Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 17.27  in 90 days
 18.21 90 days 17.27 
about 77.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eurodry to stay above $ 17.27  in 90 days from now is about 77.25 (This Eurodry probability density function shows the probability of Eurodry Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eurodry price to stay between $ 17.27  and its current price of $18.21 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.72 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Eurodry has a beta of 0.98 suggesting Eurodry market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Eurodry is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Eurodry is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Eurodry Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eurodry

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eurodry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eurodry's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Eurodry in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
15.1018.7822.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.3925.3229.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.4818.1621.84
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0047.5050.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eurodry. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eurodry's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eurodry's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Eurodry.

Eurodry Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eurodry is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eurodry's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eurodry, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eurodry within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.94
β
Beta against DOW0.98
σ
Overall volatility
6.33
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Eurodry Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eurodry for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eurodry can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eurodry generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eurodry has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Eurodry Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eurodry Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eurodry's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eurodry's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.47%
Short Percent Of Float2.64%
Float Shares239.23k
Shares Short Prior Month63.31k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day51.75k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month46.35k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Eurodry Technical Analysis

Eurodry's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eurodry Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eurodry. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eurodry Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eurodry Predictive Forecast Models

Eurodry time-series forecasting models is one of many Eurodry's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Eurodry's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eurodry

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eurodry for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eurodry help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Eurodry Alerts

Eurodry Alerts and Suggestions

Eurodry generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eurodry has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Continue to Eurodry Backtesting, Eurodry Valuation, Eurodry Correlation, Eurodry Hype Analysis, Eurodry Volatility, Eurodry History as well as Eurodry Performance. Note that the Eurodry information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Eurodry's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

Complementary Tools for Eurodry Stock analysis

When running Eurodry price analysis, check to measure Eurodry's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eurodry is operating at the current time. Most of Eurodry's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eurodry's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eurodry's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eurodry to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eurodry's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eurodry. If investors know Eurodry will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eurodry listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
18.16
Market Capitalization
54.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.13
Return On Assets
0.21
Return On Equity
0.59
The market value of Eurodry is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eurodry that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eurodry's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eurodry's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eurodry's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eurodry's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eurodry's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Eurodry value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eurodry's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.