EMBUX Mutual Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 6.36

EMBUX -  USA Fund  

USD 6.36  0.01  0.16%

Van Eck's future price is the expected price of Van Eck instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Van Eck Fds performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

EMBUX Price Probability 

 
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Continue to Van Eck Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Van Eck Correlation, Van Eck Hype Analysis, Van Eck Volatility, Van Eck History as well as Van Eck Performance. Please specify Van Eck time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Van Eck odds to be computed.
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Van Eck Target Price Odds to finish over 6.36

The tendency of EMBUX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.36 90 days 6.36  under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Van Eck to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Van Eck Fds probability density function shows the probability of EMBUX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Van Eck has a beta of 0.0919 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Van Eck average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Van Eck Fds will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Van Eck Fds is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Van Eck Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Van Eck

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Van Eck Fds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Van Eck's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Van Eck in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
6.126.406.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.136.416.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.196.466.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.346.376.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Van Eck. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Van Eck's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Van Eck's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Van Eck Fds.

Van Eck Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Van Eck is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Van Eck's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Van Eck Fds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Van Eck within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.07
β
Beta against DOW0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

Van Eck Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Van Eck for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Van Eck Fds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Van Eck Fds generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Van Eck Fds is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 23rd of September 2021 Van Eck paid $ 0.0255 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.dividendinvestor.com: NASDAQEMBUX Emerging Mkts Bd Fd Cl IVanEck Funds Dividend Announcement 0.0255 per share - Dividend Investor
The fund retains about 6.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Van Eck Technical Analysis

Van Eck's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EMBUX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Van Eck Fds. In general, you should focus on analyzing EMBUX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Van Eck Predictive Forecast Models

Van Eck time-series forecasting models is one of many Van Eck's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Van Eck's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Van Eck Fds

Checking the ongoing alerts about Van Eck for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Van Eck Fds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Van Eck Alerts

Van Eck Alerts and Suggestions

Van Eck Fds generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Van Eck Fds is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 23rd of September 2021 Van Eck paid $ 0.0255 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.dividendinvestor.com: NASDAQEMBUX Emerging Mkts Bd Fd Cl IVanEck Funds Dividend Announcement 0.0255 per share - Dividend Investor
The fund retains about 6.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Continue to Van Eck Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Van Eck Correlation, Van Eck Hype Analysis, Van Eck Volatility, Van Eck History as well as Van Eck Performance. Note that the Van Eck Fds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Van Eck's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Van Eck Fds price analysis, check to measure Van Eck's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Van Eck is operating at the current time. Most of Van Eck's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Van Eck's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Van Eck's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Van Eck to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Van Eck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Van Eck value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Van Eck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.