Empire Petroleum Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.03
| EP Stock | USD 5.36 0.04 0.75% |
Empire |
Empire Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over 5.03
The tendency of Empire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 5.03 in 90 days |
| 5.36 | 90 days | 5.03 | about 66.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Empire Petroleum to stay above $ 5.03 in 90 days from now is about 66.15 (This Empire Petroleum Corp probability density function shows the probability of Empire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Empire Petroleum Corp price to stay between $ 5.03 and its current price of $5.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.3 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.69 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Empire Petroleum will likely underperform. Additionally Empire Petroleum Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Empire Petroleum Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Empire Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empire Petroleum Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Empire Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Empire Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Empire Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Empire Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Empire Petroleum Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Empire Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Empire Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Empire Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Empire Petroleum Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Empire Petroleum had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 40.14 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (12.47 M) with gross profit of 12.29 M. | |
| Empire Petroleum Corp reports about 11.94 M in cash with (9.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.57. | |
| Empire Petroleum has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Governor Abbott to deliver keynote address at small business summit in El Paso |
Empire Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Empire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Empire Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Empire Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.8 M |
Empire Petroleum Technical Analysis
Empire Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Empire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Empire Petroleum Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Empire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Empire Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models
Empire Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Empire Petroleum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Empire Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Empire Petroleum Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Empire Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Empire Petroleum Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Empire Petroleum had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 40.14 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (12.47 M) with gross profit of 12.29 M. | |
| Empire Petroleum Corp reports about 11.94 M in cash with (9.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.57. | |
| Empire Petroleum has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Governor Abbott to deliver keynote address at small business summit in El Paso |
Additional Tools for Empire Stock Analysis
When running Empire Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Empire Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Empire Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.