Epr Properties Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 49.54
| EPR Stock | USD 40.42 0.37 0.92% |
Closest to current price EPR long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
EPR |
EPR Properties Target Price Odds to finish over 49.54
The tendency of EPR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 49.54 or more in 90 days |
| 40.42 | 90 days | 49.54 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EPR Properties to move over $ 49.54 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This EPR Properties probability density function shows the probability of EPR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EPR Properties price to stay between its current price of $ 40.42 and $ 49.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.75 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 suggesting EPR Properties market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, EPR Properties is expected to follow. Additionally EPR Properties has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. EPR Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EPR Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EPR Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EPR Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
EPR Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EPR Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EPR Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EPR Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EPR Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
EPR Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EPR Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EPR Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EPR Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EPR Properties is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| EPR Properties has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of April 2024 EPR Properties paid $ 0.285 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Signals - Stock Traders Daily |
EPR Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EPR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EPR Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EPR Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 81 M |
EPR Properties Technical Analysis
EPR Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EPR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EPR Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing EPR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EPR Properties Predictive Forecast Models
EPR Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many EPR Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EPR Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EPR Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about EPR Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EPR Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EPR Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EPR Properties is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| EPR Properties has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of April 2024 EPR Properties paid $ 0.285 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Signals - Stock Traders Daily |
Check out EPR Properties Backtesting, EPR Properties Valuation, EPR Properties Correlation, EPR Properties Hype Analysis, EPR Properties Volatility, EPR Properties History as well as EPR Properties Performance. To learn how to invest in EPR Stock, please use our How to Invest in EPR Properties guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for EPR Stock analysis
When running EPR Properties' price analysis, check to measure EPR Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EPR Properties is operating at the current time. Most of EPR Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EPR Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EPR Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EPR Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is EPR Properties' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EPR Properties. If investors know EPR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EPR Properties listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.075 | Dividend Share 3.3 | Earnings Share 1.97 | Revenue Per Share 9.275 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of EPR Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EPR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EPR Properties' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EPR Properties' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EPR Properties' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EPR Properties' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EPR Properties' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EPR Properties is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EPR Properties' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.