Mainstay Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 20.14

EPSPX -  USA Fund  

USD 20.14  0.08  0.40%

Mainstay Epoch's future price is the expected price of Mainstay Epoch instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mainstay Epoch Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Mainstay Price Probability 

 
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Continue to Mainstay Epoch Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mainstay Epoch Correlation, Mainstay Epoch Hype Analysis, Mainstay Epoch Volatility, Mainstay Epoch History as well as Mainstay Epoch Performance. Please specify Mainstay Epoch time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Mainstay Epoch odds to be computed.
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Mainstay Epoch Target Price Odds to finish over 20.14

The tendency of Mainstay Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.14 90 days 20.14  about 57.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mainstay Epoch to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 57.35 (This Mainstay Epoch Global probability density function shows the probability of Mainstay Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mainstay Epoch has a beta of 0.75 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Mainstay Epoch average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mainstay Epoch Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Mainstay Epoch Global is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Mainstay Epoch Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Mainstay Epoch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainstay Epoch Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay Epoch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mainstay Epoch in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
19.5420.1320.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
19.5420.1320.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mainstay Epoch. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mainstay Epoch's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mainstay Epoch's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mainstay Epoch Global.

Mainstay Epoch Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mainstay Epoch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mainstay Epoch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mainstay Epoch Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mainstay Epoch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.01
β
Beta against DOW0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Mainstay Epoch Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mainstay Epoch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mainstay Epoch Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 30th of September 2021 Mainstay Epoch paid $ 0.0821 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.dividendinvestor.com: NASDAQEPSPX Epoch Global Equity Yield Fd Cl AMainStay Funds Trust Dividend Announcement 0.0821 per share - Dividend Investor
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Mainstay Epoch Global retains 97.35% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Mainstay Epoch Technical Analysis

Mainstay Epoch's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mainstay Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mainstay Epoch Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mainstay Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mainstay Epoch Predictive Forecast Models

Mainstay Epoch time-series forecasting models is one of many Mainstay Epoch's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Mainstay Epoch's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mainstay Epoch Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mainstay Epoch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mainstay Epoch Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Mainstay Epoch Alerts

Mainstay Epoch Alerts and Suggestions

On 30th of September 2021 Mainstay Epoch paid $ 0.0821 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.dividendinvestor.com: NASDAQEPSPX Epoch Global Equity Yield Fd Cl AMainStay Funds Trust Dividend Announcement 0.0821 per share - Dividend Investor
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Mainstay Epoch Global retains 97.35% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Continue to Mainstay Epoch Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Mainstay Epoch Correlation, Mainstay Epoch Hype Analysis, Mainstay Epoch Volatility, Mainstay Epoch History as well as Mainstay Epoch Performance. Note that the Mainstay Epoch Global information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mainstay Epoch's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Mainstay Mutual Fund analysis

When running Mainstay Epoch Global price analysis, check to measure Mainstay Epoch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mainstay Epoch is operating at the current time. Most of Mainstay Epoch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mainstay Epoch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mainstay Epoch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mainstay Epoch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mainstay Epoch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mainstay Epoch value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mainstay Epoch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.