Equity Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 61.61

EQR Stock

USD 61.61 0.81 1.33%

Equity Residential's future price is the expected price of Equity Residential instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Equity Residential performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 06/02/2023, Price to Book Value is likely to grow to 2.45. Also, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 30.72.

Equity Residential's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Equity Residential. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Equity Residential based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Equity Residential over a specific time period. For example, 2023-06-16 CALL at $62.5 is a CALL option contract on Equity Residential's common stock with a strick price of 62.5 expiring on 2023-06-16. The contract was last traded on 2023-05-31 at 15:55:01 for $0.6 and, as of today, has 14 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.5, and an ask price of $0.6. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of June is 25.42. View All Equity options

Closest to current price Equity long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Check out Equity Residential Backtesting, Equity Residential Valuation, Equity Residential Correlation, Equity Residential Hype Analysis, Equity Residential Volatility, Equity Residential History as well as Equity Residential Performance. To learn how to invest in Equity Stock, please use our How to Invest in Equity Residential guide.Please specify Equity Residential time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Equity Residential odds to be computed.

Equity Residential Target Price Odds to finish over 61.61

The tendency of Equity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds to move above the current price in 90 days
61.61	90 days	61.61	about 26.34

Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equity Residential to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.34 (This Equity Residential probability density function shows the probability of Equity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Equity Residential has a beta of 0.97 suggesting Equity Residential market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Equity Residential is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0399, implying that it can generate a 0.0399 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Equity Residential Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for Equity Residential

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity Residential. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equity Residential's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Equity Residential in the context of predictive analytics.

Hype

Prediction

Low	Estimated	High
60.23	61.61	62.99

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Real	High
55.45	65.03	66.41

Details

Naive

Forecast

Low	Next	High
59.09	60.47	61.85

Details

22 Analysts

Consensus

Low	Target	High
61.00	69.64	91.00

Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Equity Residential. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Equity Residential's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Equity Residential's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Equity Residential.

Equity Residential Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equity Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equity Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equity Residential, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equity Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

α	Alpha over NYSE Composite	0.039926	Details
β	Beta against NYSE Composite	0.97	Details
σ	Overall volatility	2.07	Details
Ir	Information ratio	0.029408	Details

Equity Residential Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equity Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equity Residential can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	The company has 7.43 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.67, which is OK given its current industry classification. Equity Residential has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Equity Residential until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Equity Residential's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Equity Residential sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Equity Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
	Over 93.0% of Equity Residential shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
	On 14th of April 2023 Equity Residential paid $ 0.6625 per share dividend to its current shareholders
	Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: JPMorgan Chase Co. Boosts Stock Holdings in Equity Residential

Equity Residential Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equity Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	389.4 M
	Cash And Short Term Investments	53.9 M

Equity Residential Technical Analysis

Equity Residential's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equity Residential. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

	Cycle Indicators
	Math Operators
	Math Transform
	Momentum Indicators
	Overlap Studies
	Pattern Recognition
	Price Transform
	Statistic Functions
	Volatility Indicators
	Volume Indicators

Equity Residential Predictive Forecast Models

Equity Residential's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equity Residential's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equity Residential's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Equity Residential

Checking the ongoing alerts about Equity Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equity Residential help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	The company has 7.43 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.67, which is OK given its current industry classification. Equity Residential has a current ratio of 0.25, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Equity Residential until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Equity Residential's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Equity Residential sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Equity Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
	Over 93.0% of Equity Residential shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
	On 14th of April 2023 Equity Residential paid $ 0.6625 per share dividend to its current shareholders
	Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: JPMorgan Chase Co. Boosts Stock Holdings in Equity Residential

Check out Equity Residential Backtesting, Equity Residential Valuation, Equity Residential Correlation, Equity Residential Hype Analysis, Equity Residential Volatility, Equity Residential History as well as Equity Residential Performance. To learn how to invest in Equity Stock, please use our How to Invest in Equity Residential guide. You can also try the CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Equity Stock analysis

When running Equity Residential's price analysis, check to measure Equity Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Equity Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Equity Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Equity Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Equity Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Equity Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Equity Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Equity Residential. If investors know Equity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Equity Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

2.006

Dividend Share

2.538

Earnings Share

2.36

Revenue Per Share

7.394

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.079

The market value of Equity Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Equity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Equity Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Equity Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Equity Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Equity Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Equity Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Equity Residential is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Equity Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
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	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
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	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average

Equity Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 61.61

Closest to current price Equity long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Equity Residential Target Price Odds to finish over 61.61

Predictive Modules for Equity Residential

Equity Residential Risk Indicators

Equity Residential Alerts and Suggestions

Equity Residential Price Density Drivers

Equity Residential Technical Analysis

Equity Residential Predictive Forecast Models

Things to note about Equity Residential

Complementary Tools for Equity Stock analysis

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