Emera OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 18.89

ERRAF -  USA Stock  

USD 18.89  0.003999  0.0212%

Emera Inc's future price is the expected price of Emera Inc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Emera Inc Cum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Continue to Emera Inc Backtesting, Emera Inc Valuation, Emera Inc Correlation, Emera Inc Hype Analysis, Emera Inc Volatility, Emera Inc History as well as Emera Inc Performance. Please specify Emera Inc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Emera Inc odds to be computed.
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Emera Inc Target Price Odds to finish over 18.89

The tendency of Emera OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.89 90 days 18.89  about 67.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Emera Inc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.53 (This Emera Inc Cum probability density function shows the probability of Emera OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Emera Inc Cum has a beta of -0.0683 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Emera Inc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Emera Inc Cum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Emera Inc Cum is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Emera Inc Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Emera Inc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emera Inc Cum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Emera Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Emera Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
18.3518.8919.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.1017.6420.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.0818.6219.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.8918.8918.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Emera Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Emera Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Emera Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Emera Inc Cum.

Emera Inc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Emera Inc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Emera Inc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Emera Inc Cum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Emera Inc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.04
β
Beta against DOW-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Emera Inc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Emera Inc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Emera Inc Cum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Emera Inc Cum generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Emera Inc Cum has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 15.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Emera Inc Cum has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.

Emera Inc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Emera OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Emera Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Emera Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.50
Float Shares256.33M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day20
Average Daily Volume In Three Month227
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield13.23%

Emera Inc Technical Analysis

Emera Inc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Emera OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Emera Inc Cum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Emera OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Emera Inc Predictive Forecast Models

Emera Inc time-series forecasting models is one of many Emera Inc's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Emera Inc's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Emera Inc Cum

Checking the ongoing alerts about Emera Inc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Emera Inc Cum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Emera Inc Alerts

Emera Inc Alerts and Suggestions

Emera Inc Cum generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Emera Inc Cum has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 15.28 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.62, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Emera Inc Cum has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
Continue to Emera Inc Backtesting, Emera Inc Valuation, Emera Inc Correlation, Emera Inc Hype Analysis, Emera Inc Volatility, Emera Inc History as well as Emera Inc Performance. Note that the Emera Inc Cum information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Emera Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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When running Emera Inc Cum price analysis, check to measure Emera Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Emera Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Emera Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Emera Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Emera Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Emera Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Emera Inc Cum is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Emera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Emera Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Emera Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Emera Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Emera Inc Cum underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Emera Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Emera Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Emera Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.