Eaton Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.49

ERSGX -  USA Fund  

USD 16.37  0.02  0.12%

Eaton Vance's future price is the expected price of Eaton Vance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eaton Vance Small-Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Eaton Price Probability 

 
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Continue to Eaton Vance Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Eaton Vance Correlation, Eaton Vance Hype Analysis, Eaton Vance Volatility, Eaton Vance History as well as Eaton Vance Performance. Please specify Eaton Vance time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Eaton Vance odds to be computed.
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Eaton Vance Target Price Odds to finish over 15.49

The tendency of Eaton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 15.49  in 90 days
 16.37 90 days 15.49  more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eaton Vance to stay above $ 15.49  in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Eaton Vance Small-Cap probability density function shows the probability of Eaton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eaton Vance Small-Cap price to stay between $ 15.49  and its current price of $16.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Eaton Vance has a beta of 0.94 suggesting Eaton Vance Small-Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Eaton Vance is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0584, implying that it can generate a 0.0584 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Eaton Vance Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Eaton Vance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eaton Vance Small-Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eaton Vance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Eaton Vance in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
15.5816.3717.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.0216.8117.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.6716.4617.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.8516.1816.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eaton Vance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eaton Vance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eaton Vance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Eaton Vance Small-Cap.

Eaton Vance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eaton Vance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eaton Vance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eaton Vance Small-Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eaton Vance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.06
β
Beta against DOW0.94
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Eaton Vance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eaton Vance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eaton Vance Small-Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.16% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Eaton Vance Technical Analysis

Eaton Vance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eaton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eaton Vance Small-Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eaton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eaton Vance Predictive Forecast Models

Eaton Vance time-series forecasting models is one of many Eaton Vance's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Eaton Vance's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eaton Vance Small-Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eaton Vance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eaton Vance Small-Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Eaton Vance Alerts

Eaton Vance Alerts and Suggestions

The fund retains 99.16% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Continue to Eaton Vance Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Eaton Vance Correlation, Eaton Vance Hype Analysis, Eaton Vance Volatility, Eaton Vance History as well as Eaton Vance Performance. Note that the Eaton Vance Small-Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Eaton Vance's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Eaton Vance Small-Cap price analysis, check to measure Eaton Vance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eaton Vance is operating at the current time. Most of Eaton Vance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eaton Vance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eaton Vance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eaton Vance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Eaton Vance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Eaton Vance value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eaton Vance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.