ERVFF OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.065

ERVFF -  USA Stock  

USD 0.07  0.005  7.14%

Erin Ventures' future price is the expected price of Erin Ventures instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Erin Ventures performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Continue to Erin Ventures Backtesting, Erin Ventures Valuation, Erin Ventures Correlation, Erin Ventures Hype Analysis, Erin Ventures Volatility, Erin Ventures History as well as Erin Ventures Performance. Please specify Erin Ventures time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Erin Ventures odds to be computed.
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Erin Ventures Target Price Odds to finish over 0.065

The tendency of ERVFF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07  about 90.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Erin Ventures to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.46 (This Erin Ventures probability density function shows the probability of ERVFF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Erin Ventures has a beta of -1.52 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Erin Ventures are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Erin Ventures is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Erin Ventures is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Erin Ventures Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Erin Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Erin Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Erin Ventures' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Erin Ventures in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.077.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.067.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.00120.067.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.070.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Erin Ventures. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Erin Ventures' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Erin Ventures' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Erin Ventures.

Erin Ventures Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Erin Ventures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Erin Ventures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Erin Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Erin Ventures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.77
β
Beta against DOW-1.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.019847
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Erin Ventures Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Erin Ventures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Erin Ventures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Erin Ventures generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Erin Ventures has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Erin Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company has accumulated 97.41 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Erin Ventures has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
Net Loss for the year was (1.14 M).
Erin Ventures has accumulated about 173.11 K in cash with (1.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from www.streetinsider.com: Erin Ventures Announces Proposed Private Placement - StreetInsider.com

Erin Ventures Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ERVFF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Erin Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Erin Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares133.57M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day11.01k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.07k

Erin Ventures Technical Analysis

Erin Ventures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ERVFF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Erin Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing ERVFF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Erin Ventures Predictive Forecast Models

Erin Ventures time-series forecasting models is one of many Erin Ventures' otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Erin Ventures' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Erin Ventures

Checking the ongoing alerts about Erin Ventures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Erin Ventures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Erin Ventures Alerts

Erin Ventures Alerts and Suggestions

Erin Ventures generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Erin Ventures has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Erin Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company has accumulated 97.41 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Erin Ventures has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
Net Loss for the year was (1.14 M).
Erin Ventures has accumulated about 173.11 K in cash with (1.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from www.streetinsider.com: Erin Ventures Announces Proposed Private Placement - StreetInsider.com
Continue to Erin Ventures Backtesting, Erin Ventures Valuation, Erin Ventures Correlation, Erin Ventures Hype Analysis, Erin Ventures Volatility, Erin Ventures History as well as Erin Ventures Performance. Note that the Erin Ventures information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Erin Ventures' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running Erin Ventures price analysis, check to measure Erin Ventures' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erin Ventures is operating at the current time. Most of Erin Ventures' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erin Ventures' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erin Ventures' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erin Ventures to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Erin Ventures is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ERVFF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Erin Ventures' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Erin Ventures' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Erin Ventures' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Erin Ventures underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Erin Ventures' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Erin Ventures value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Erin Ventures' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.