FRANKLIN Mutual Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.81

FAAAX Fund  USD 10.81  0.03  0.28%   
FRANKLIN's future price is the expected price of FRANKLIN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FRANKLIN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, FRANKLIN Correlation, FRANKLIN Hype Analysis, FRANKLIN Volatility, FRANKLIN History as well as FRANKLIN Performance. Please specify FRANKLIN time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FRANKLIN odds to be computed.
  

FRANKLIN Target Price Odds to finish over 10.81

The tendency of FRANKLIN Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.81 90 days 10.81 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FRANKLIN to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE probability density function shows the probability of FRANKLIN Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FRANKLIN has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FRANKLIN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   FRANKLIN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FRANKLIN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FRANKLIN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FRANKLIN in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6810.8110.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6910.8210.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6310.7710.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.8010.8410.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FRANKLIN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FRANKLIN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FRANKLIN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE.

FRANKLIN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FRANKLIN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FRANKLIN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FRANKLIN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0033
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.028849
Ir
Information ratio 0.54

FRANKLIN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FRANKLIN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FRANKLIN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FRANKLIN is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains about 38.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

FRANKLIN Technical Analysis

FRANKLIN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FRANKLIN Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE. In general, you should focus on analyzing FRANKLIN Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FRANKLIN Predictive Forecast Models

FRANKLIN's time-series forecasting models is one of many FRANKLIN's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FRANKLIN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE

Checking the ongoing alerts about FRANKLIN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FRANKLIN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FRANKLIN is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund retains about 38.58% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Check out FRANKLIN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, FRANKLIN Correlation, FRANKLIN Hype Analysis, FRANKLIN Volatility, FRANKLIN History as well as FRANKLIN Performance. Note that the FRANKLIN K2 ALTERNATIVE information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FRANKLIN's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

Complementary Tools for FRANKLIN Mutual Fund analysis

When running FRANKLIN's price analysis, check to measure FRANKLIN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FRANKLIN is operating at the current time. Most of FRANKLIN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FRANKLIN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FRANKLIN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FRANKLIN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between FRANKLIN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FRANKLIN is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FRANKLIN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.