Farmmi Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.83

FAMI Stock  USD 0.83  0.01  1.19%   
Farmmi's future price is the expected price of Farmmi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Farmmi Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Farmmi Backtesting, Farmmi Valuation, Farmmi Correlation, Farmmi Hype Analysis, Farmmi Volatility, Farmmi History as well as Farmmi Performance.
  
As of now, Farmmi's Price Fair Value is decreasing as compared to previous years. Please specify Farmmi's target price for which you would like Farmmi odds to be computed.

Farmmi Target Price Odds to finish over 0.83

The tendency of Farmmi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.83 90 days 0.83 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Farmmi to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Farmmi Inc probability density function shows the probability of Farmmi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmmi Inc has a beta of -0.84. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Farmmi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Farmmi Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Farmmi Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Farmmi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Farmmi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Farmmi Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Farmmi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.835.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.815.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.915.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.770.951.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Farmmi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Farmmi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Farmmi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Farmmi Inc.

Farmmi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Farmmi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Farmmi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Farmmi Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Farmmi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.42
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Farmmi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Farmmi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Farmmi Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farmmi Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Farmmi Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Farmmi Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Farmmi Inc currently holds about 54.89 M in cash with (75.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.3, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Farmmi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Farmmi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Farmmi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmmi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.8 M

Farmmi Technical Analysis

Farmmi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Farmmi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Farmmi Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Farmmi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Farmmi Predictive Forecast Models

Farmmi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Farmmi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Farmmi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Farmmi Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmmi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmmi Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farmmi Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Farmmi Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Farmmi Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Farmmi Inc currently holds about 54.89 M in cash with (75.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.3, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
When determining whether Farmmi Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Farmmi's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Farmmi Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Farmmi Inc Stock:
Check out Farmmi Backtesting, Farmmi Valuation, Farmmi Correlation, Farmmi Hype Analysis, Farmmi Volatility, Farmmi History as well as Farmmi Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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When running Farmmi's price analysis, check to measure Farmmi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmmi is operating at the current time. Most of Farmmi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmmi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmmi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmmi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Farmmi's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmmi. If investors know Farmmi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmmi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.91)
Earnings Share
2.4
Revenue Per Share
30.413
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
Return On Assets
0.0075
The market value of Farmmi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmmi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmmi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmmi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmmi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmmi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmmi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmmi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmmi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.