FBR ASSET Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 219.60

FB
 Stock
  

USD 169.58  6.99  4.30%   

FBR ASSET's future price is the expected price of FBR ASSET instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FBR ASSET INVESTMENT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Investing Opportunities.Please specify FBR ASSET time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FBR ASSET odds to be computed.

FBR ASSET Target Price Odds to finish over 219.60

The tendency of FBR ASSET Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 219.60  or more in 90 days
 169.58 90 days 219.60 
about 1.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FBR ASSET to move over $ 219.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.11 (This FBR ASSET INVESTMENT probability density function shows the probability of FBR ASSET Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FBR ASSET INVESTMENT price to stay between its current price of $ 169.58  and $ 219.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.36 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon FBR ASSET INVESTMENT has a beta of -0.5. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding FBR ASSET are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, FBR ASSET INVESTMENT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. FBR ASSET INVESTMENT is significantly underperforming DOW.
   FBR ASSET Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FBR ASSET

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FBR ASSET INVESTMENT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FBR ASSET's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FBR ASSET in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
165.96169.58173.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
152.62220.67224.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
154.04157.66161.28
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
300.00390.86460.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FBR ASSET. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FBR ASSET's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FBR ASSET's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FBR ASSET INVESTMENT.

FBR ASSET Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FBR ASSET is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FBR ASSET's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FBR ASSET INVESTMENT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FBR ASSET within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.04
β
Beta against DOW-0.5
σ
Overall volatility
16.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

FBR ASSET Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FBR ASSET for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FBR ASSET INVESTMENT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FBR ASSET INVESTMENT is now traded under the symbol META. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!

FBR ASSET Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FBR ASSET Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FBR ASSET's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FBR ASSET's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day24.6M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month32.54M

FBR ASSET Technical Analysis

FBR ASSET's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FBR ASSET Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FBR ASSET INVESTMENT. In general, you should focus on analyzing FBR ASSET Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FBR ASSET Predictive Forecast Models

FBR ASSET time-series forecasting models is one of many FBR ASSET's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary FBR ASSET's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FBR ASSET INVESTMENT

Checking the ongoing alerts about FBR ASSET for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FBR ASSET INVESTMENT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

FBR ASSET Alerts

FBR ASSET Alerts and Suggestions

FBR ASSET INVESTMENT is now traded under the symbol META. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It!
Please check Investing Opportunities. Note that the FBR ASSET INVESTMENT information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FBR ASSET's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Other Tools for FBR ASSET Stock

When running FBR ASSET INVESTMENT price analysis, check to measure FBR ASSET's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FBR ASSET is operating at the current time. Most of FBR ASSET's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FBR ASSET's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FBR ASSET's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FBR ASSET to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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