Franklin Fund Allocator Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.78
| FCEEX Fund | USD 9.78 0.03 0.31% |
Franklin |
Franklin Fund Target Price Odds to finish over 9.78
The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.78 | 90 days | 9.78 | about 36.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Fund to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.94 (This Franklin Fund Allocator probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Fund has a beta of 0.76. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin Fund Allocator will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Franklin Fund Allocator has an alpha of 0.0245, implying that it can generate a 0.0245 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Franklin Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Franklin Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Fund Allocator. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Franklin Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Fund Allocator, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Franklin Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Fund Allocator can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -5.0% | |
| Franklin Fund Allocator retains 98.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Franklin Fund Technical Analysis
Franklin Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Fund Allocator. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Franklin Fund Predictive Forecast Models
Franklin Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Franklin Fund Allocator
Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Fund Allocator help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -5.0% | |
| Franklin Fund Allocator retains 98.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Franklin Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Fund Correlation, Franklin Fund Hype Analysis, Franklin Fund Volatility, Franklin Fund History as well as Franklin Fund Performance. Note that the Franklin Fund Allocator information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Franklin Fund's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.