Templeton Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 2.74

FCGBX -  USA Fund  

USD 2.65  0.01  0.38%

Templeton Global's future price is the expected price of Templeton Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Templeton Global Balanced performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Templeton Price Probability 

 
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Please check Templeton Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Templeton Global Correlation, Templeton Global Hype Analysis, Templeton Global Volatility, Templeton Global History as well as Templeton Global Performance. Please specify Templeton Global time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Templeton Global odds to be computed.
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Templeton Global Target Price Odds to finish below 2.74

The tendency of Templeton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 2.74  after 90 days
 2.65 90 days 2.74  about 61.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Templeton Global to stay under $ 2.74  after 90 days from now is about 61.62 (This Templeton Global Balanced probability density function shows the probability of Templeton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Templeton Global Balanced price to stay between its current price of $ 2.65  and $ 2.74  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Templeton Global Balanced has a beta of -0.097. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Templeton Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Templeton Global Balanced is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Templeton Global Balanced is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Templeton Global Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Templeton Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Templeton Global Balanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Templeton Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Templeton Global in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1.972.653.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.992.673.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.942.623.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.642.702.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Templeton Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Templeton Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Templeton Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Templeton Global Balanced.

Templeton Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Templeton Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Templeton Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Templeton Global Balanced, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Templeton Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.01
β
Beta against DOW-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Templeton Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Templeton Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Templeton Global Balanced can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Templeton Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Templeton Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Templeton Global Balanced generated five year return of -3.0%
This fund retains about 18.04% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Templeton Global Technical Analysis

Templeton Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Templeton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Templeton Global Balanced. In general, you should focus on analyzing Templeton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Templeton Global Predictive Forecast Models

Templeton Global time-series forecasting models is one of many Templeton Global's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Templeton Global's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Templeton Global Balanced

Checking the ongoing alerts about Templeton Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Templeton Global Balanced help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Templeton Global Alerts

Templeton Global Alerts and Suggestions

Templeton Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Templeton Global is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Templeton Global Balanced generated five year return of -3.0%
This fund retains about 18.04% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Please check Templeton Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Templeton Global Correlation, Templeton Global Hype Analysis, Templeton Global Volatility, Templeton Global History as well as Templeton Global Performance. Note that the Templeton Global Balanced information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Templeton Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for Templeton Mutual Fund analysis

When running Templeton Global Balanced price analysis, check to measure Templeton Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Templeton Global is operating at the current time. Most of Templeton Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Templeton Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Templeton Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Templeton Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Templeton Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Templeton Global value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Templeton Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.