Franklin Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 1.92

FCHIX -  USA Fund  

USD 1.92  0.01  0.52%

Franklin High's future price is the expected price of Franklin High instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin High Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Franklin Price Probability 

 
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Please check Franklin High Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin High Correlation, Franklin High Hype Analysis, Franklin High Volatility, Franklin High History as well as Franklin High Performance. Please specify Franklin High time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Franklin High odds to be computed.
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Franklin High Target Price Odds to finish over 1.92

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.92 90 days 1.92  about 86.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin High to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.53 (This Franklin High Income probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin High has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This usually indicates the returns on DOW and Franklin High do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the current equity valuation.
 Franklin High Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Franklin High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin High Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Franklin High in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1.671.922.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.671.922.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.671.922.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.911.921.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin High. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin High's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin High's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Franklin High Income.

Franklin High Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin High Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.00
β
Beta against DOW0.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.009053
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Franklin High Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin High Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin High Income may become a speculative penny stock
Franklin High Income is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 30th of September 2021 Franklin High paid $ 0.0065 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund retains about 92.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Franklin High Technical Analysis

Franklin High's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin High Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin High Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin High time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin High's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Franklin High's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin High Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin High Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Franklin High Alerts

Franklin High Alerts and Suggestions

Franklin High Income may become a speculative penny stock
Franklin High Income is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 30th of September 2021 Franklin High paid $ 0.0065 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund retains about 92.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Please check Franklin High Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin High Correlation, Franklin High Hype Analysis, Franklin High Volatility, Franklin High History as well as Franklin High Performance. Note that the Franklin High Income information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Franklin High's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Complementary Tools for Franklin Mutual Fund analysis

When running Franklin High Income price analysis, check to measure Franklin High's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Franklin High is operating at the current time. Most of Franklin High's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Franklin High's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Franklin High's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Franklin High to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Franklin High value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.