Franklin Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 2.19

FCISX
 Fund
  

USD 2.19  0.03  1.35%   

Franklin Income's future price is the expected price of Franklin Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Franklin Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Income Correlation, Franklin Income Hype Analysis, Franklin Income Volatility, Franklin Income History as well as Franklin Income Performance. Please specify Franklin Income time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Franklin Income odds to be computed.

Franklin Income Target Price Odds to finish over 2.19

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.19 90 days 2.19 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Income to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Franklin Income probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Income has a beta of 0.0275. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Franklin Income is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Franklin Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Franklin Income in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1.572.222.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.592.242.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.512.172.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.242.302.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Income. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Income's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Income's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Franklin Income.

Franklin Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.09
β
Beta against DOW0.0275
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.0059

Franklin Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Franklin Income is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 1st of September 2022 Franklin Income paid $ 0.0089 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Is Franklin Income C a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - Nasdaq
The fund retains about 6.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Franklin Income Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Franklin Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Franklin Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.10
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.59%

Franklin Income Technical Analysis

Franklin Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Income Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Income time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Income's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Franklin Income's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Franklin Income is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 1st of September 2022 Franklin Income paid $ 0.0089 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Is Franklin Income C a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - Nasdaq
The fund retains about 6.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Please check Franklin Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Income Correlation, Franklin Income Hype Analysis, Franklin Income Volatility, Franklin Income History as well as Franklin Income Performance. You can also try Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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When running Franklin Income price analysis, check to measure Franklin Income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Franklin Income is operating at the current time. Most of Franklin Income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Franklin Income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Franklin Income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Franklin Income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Franklin Income value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.