Fa529 Eq Gr Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 68.56
| FEGDX Fund | USD 78.76 0.68 0.86% |
Fa529 |
Fa529 Eq Target Price Odds to finish below 68.56
The tendency of Fa529 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 68.56 or more in 90 days |
| 78.76 | 90 days | 68.56 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fa529 Eq to drop to $ 68.56 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fa529 Eq Gr probability density function shows the probability of Fa529 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fa529 Eq Gr price to stay between $ 68.56 and its current price of $78.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fa529 Eq will likely underperform. Additionally Fa529 Eq Gr has an alpha of 0.0546, implying that it can generate a 0.0546 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fa529 Eq Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fa529 Eq
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fa529 Eq Gr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fa529 Eq's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fa529 Eq Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fa529 Eq is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fa529 Eq's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fa529 Eq Gr, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fa529 Eq within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Fa529 Eq Technical Analysis
Fa529 Eq's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fa529 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fa529 Eq Gr. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fa529 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fa529 Eq Predictive Forecast Models
Fa529 Eq's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fa529 Eq's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fa529 Eq's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fa529 Eq in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fa529 Eq's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fa529 Eq options trading.
Check out Fa529 Eq Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fa529 Eq Correlation, Fa529 Eq Hype Analysis, Fa529 Eq Volatility, Fa529 Eq History as well as Fa529 Eq Performance. Note that the Fa529 Eq Gr information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fa529 Eq's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fa529 Eq's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fa529 Eq is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fa529 Eq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.