First Eagle High Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.60

FEHAX Fund  USD 8.60  0.01  0.12%   
First Eagle's future price is the expected price of First Eagle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Eagle High performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out First Eagle Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, First Eagle Correlation, First Eagle Hype Analysis, First Eagle Volatility, First Eagle History as well as First Eagle Performance.
  
Please specify First Eagle's target price for which you would like First Eagle odds to be computed.

First Eagle Target Price Odds to finish over 8.60

The tendency of First Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.60 90 days 8.60 
about 11.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Eagle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.51 (This First Eagle High probability density function shows the probability of First Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Eagle has a beta of 0.024. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Eagle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Eagle High will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Eagle High has an alpha of 0.087, implying that it can generate a 0.087 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Eagle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Eagle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Eagle High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Eagle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.358.608.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.298.548.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.408.658.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.498.578.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Eagle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Eagle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Eagle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Eagle High.

First Eagle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Eagle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Eagle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Eagle High, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Eagle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

First Eagle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Eagle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Eagle High can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 6.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

First Eagle Technical Analysis

First Eagle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Eagle High. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First Eagle Predictive Forecast Models

First Eagle's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Eagle's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Eagle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First Eagle High

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Eagle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Eagle High help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 6.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in First Mutual Fund

First Eagle financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Eagle security.
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