First Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.43

FEHRX Fund

USD 7.83 0.03 0.38%

First Eagle's future price is the expected price of First Eagle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Eagle High performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Please check First Eagle Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, First Eagle Correlation, First Eagle Hype Analysis, First Eagle Volatility, First Eagle History as well as First Eagle Performance. Please specify First Eagle time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like First Eagle odds to be computed.

First Eagle Target Price Odds to finish over 8.43

The tendency of First Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.

Current Price	Horizon	Target Price	Odds to move over $ 8.43 or more in 90 days
7.83	90 days	8.43	near 1

Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Eagle to move over $ 8.43 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This First Eagle High probability density function shows the probability of First Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Eagle High price to stay between its current price of $ 7.83 and $ 8.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.34 .

Assuming the 90 days horizon First Eagle High has a beta of -0.0474. This usually indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding First Eagle are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, First Eagle High is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. First Eagle High is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.

First Eagle Price Density

Price

Predictive Modules for First Eagle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Eagle High. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Eagle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of First Eagle in the context of predictive analytics.

Hype

Prediction

Low	Estimated Value	High
7.50	7.83	8.16

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Real Value	High
7.52	7.85	8.18

Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Eagle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Eagle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Eagle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in First Eagle High.

First Eagle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Eagle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Eagle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Eagle High, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Eagle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

α	Alpha over NYSE Composite	-0.02	Details
β	Beta against NYSE Composite	-0.05	Details
σ	Overall volatility	0.08	Details
Ir	Information ratio	0.12	Details

First Eagle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Eagle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Eagle High can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	First Eagle High is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
	The fund retains about 6.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

First Eagle Technical Analysis

First Eagle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Eagle High. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

	Cycle Indicators
	Math Operators
	Math Transform
	Momentum Indicators
	Overlap Studies
	Pattern Recognition
	Price Transform
	Statistic Functions
	Volatility Indicators
	Volume Indicators

First Eagle Predictive Forecast Models

First Eagle time-series forecasting models is one of many First Eagle's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary First Eagle's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First Eagle High

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Eagle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Eagle High help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

	First Eagle High is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
	The fund retains about 6.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Please check First Eagle Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, First Eagle Correlation, First Eagle Hype Analysis, First Eagle Volatility, First Eagle History as well as First Eagle Performance. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running First Eagle High price analysis, check to measure First Eagle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Eagle is operating at the current time. Most of First Eagle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Eagle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Eagle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Eagle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between First Eagle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine First Eagle value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Eagle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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First Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.43

First Eagle Target Price Odds to finish over 8.43

Predictive Modules for First Eagle

First Eagle Risk Indicators

First Eagle Alerts and Suggestions

First Eagle Technical Analysis

First Eagle Predictive Forecast Models

Things to note about First Eagle High

Complementary Tools for analysis

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