Franklin Equity Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 33.30

FEIQX Fund  USD 30.48  0.01  0.03%   
Franklin Equity's future price is the expected price of Franklin Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Equity Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Equity Correlation, Franklin Equity Hype Analysis, Franklin Equity Volatility, Franklin Equity History as well as Franklin Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin Equity's target price for which you would like Franklin Equity odds to be computed.

Franklin Equity Target Price Odds to finish over 33.30

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 33.30  or more in 90 days
 30.48 90 days 33.30 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Equity to move over $ 33.30  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Franklin Equity Income probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin Equity Me price to stay between its current price of $ 30.48  and $ 33.30  at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Equity has a beta of 0.89. This usually indicates Franklin Equity Income market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Franklin Equity is expected to follow. Additionally Franklin Equity Income has an alpha of 0.0207, implying that it can generate a 0.0207 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Franklin Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Equity Me. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.9130.4831.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.8930.4631.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Equity Me.

Franklin Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Equity Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Franklin Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Equity Me can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 6.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Franklin Equity Technical Analysis

Franklin Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Equity Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Equity Me

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Equity Me help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 6.01% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Equity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.