Flywire Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.81

FLYW Stock  USD 24.81  0.09  0.36%   
Flywire Corp's future price is the expected price of Flywire Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flywire Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Flywire Corp Backtesting, Flywire Corp Valuation, Flywire Corp Correlation, Flywire Corp Hype Analysis, Flywire Corp Volatility, Flywire Corp History as well as Flywire Corp Performance.
For more information on how to buy Flywire Stock please use our How to Invest in Flywire Corp guide.
  
Please specify Flywire Corp's target price for which you would like Flywire Corp odds to be computed.

Flywire Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 24.81

The tendency of Flywire Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.81 90 days 24.81 
about 25.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flywire Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.82 (This Flywire Corp probability density function shows the probability of Flywire Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.98 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Flywire Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Flywire Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Flywire Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flywire Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flywire Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flywire Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4224.6927.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2524.5227.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.5523.8227.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.2925.8928.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Flywire Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Flywire Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Flywire Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Flywire Corp.

Flywire Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flywire Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flywire Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flywire Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flywire Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.98
σ
Overall volatility
2.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.0002

Flywire Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flywire Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flywire Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flywire Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Flywire Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 403.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 181.44 M.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Vanguard Group Inc. Has 335.41 Million Stock Holdings in Flywire Co. - Defense World

Flywire Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flywire Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flywire Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flywire Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments654.6 M

Flywire Corp Technical Analysis

Flywire Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flywire Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flywire Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flywire Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flywire Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Flywire Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flywire Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flywire Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flywire Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flywire Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flywire Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flywire Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Flywire Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 403.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (8.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 181.44 M.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Vanguard Group Inc. Has 335.41 Million Stock Holdings in Flywire Co. - Defense World
When determining whether Flywire Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Flywire Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Flywire Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Flywire Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Flywire Corp Backtesting, Flywire Corp Valuation, Flywire Corp Correlation, Flywire Corp Hype Analysis, Flywire Corp Volatility, Flywire Corp History as well as Flywire Corp Performance.
For more information on how to buy Flywire Stock please use our How to Invest in Flywire Corp guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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When running Flywire Corp's price analysis, check to measure Flywire Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flywire Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Flywire Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flywire Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flywire Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flywire Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Flywire Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flywire Corp. If investors know Flywire will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flywire Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Flywire Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flywire that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flywire Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flywire Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flywire Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flywire Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flywire Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flywire Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flywire Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.