Franklin Lifesmart 2045 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.48

FMLTX Fund  USD 15.73  0.06  0.38%   
Franklin Lifesmart's future price is the expected price of Franklin Lifesmart instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Lifesmart 2045 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Lifesmart Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Lifesmart Correlation, Franklin Lifesmart Hype Analysis, Franklin Lifesmart Volatility, Franklin Lifesmart History as well as Franklin Lifesmart Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin Lifesmart's target price for which you would like Franklin Lifesmart odds to be computed.

Franklin Lifesmart Target Price Odds to finish over 12.48

The tendency of Franklin Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 12.48  in 90 days
 15.73 90 days 12.48 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Lifesmart to stay above $ 12.48  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Franklin Lifesmart 2045 probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin Lifesmart 2045 price to stay between $ 12.48  and its current price of $15.73 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Franklin Lifesmart has a beta of 0.92. This usually indicates Franklin Lifesmart 2045 market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Franklin Lifesmart is expected to follow. Additionally Franklin Lifesmart 2045 has an alpha of 0.0053, implying that it can generate a 0.005279 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Franklin Lifesmart Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Lifesmart

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Lifesmart 2045. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Lifesmart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.1315.7316.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9615.5616.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Lifesmart. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Lifesmart's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Lifesmart's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Lifesmart 2045.

Franklin Lifesmart Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Lifesmart is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Lifesmart's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Lifesmart 2045, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Lifesmart within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.92
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio -0.0075

Franklin Lifesmart Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Lifesmart for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Lifesmart 2045 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 88.03% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Franklin Lifesmart Technical Analysis

Franklin Lifesmart's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Lifesmart 2045. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Lifesmart Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Lifesmart's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Lifesmart's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Lifesmart's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Lifesmart 2045

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Lifesmart for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Lifesmart 2045 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 88.03% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

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When running Franklin Lifesmart's price analysis, check to measure Franklin Lifesmart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Franklin Lifesmart is operating at the current time. Most of Franklin Lifesmart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Franklin Lifesmart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Franklin Lifesmart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Franklin Lifesmart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Lifesmart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Lifesmart is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Lifesmart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.