Free Market International Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.36

FMNEX Fund  USD 11.36  0.03  0.26%   
Free Market's future price is the expected price of Free Market instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Free Market International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Free Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Free Market Correlation, Free Market Hype Analysis, Free Market Volatility, Free Market History as well as Free Market Performance.
  
Please specify Free Market's target price for which you would like Free Market odds to be computed.

Free Market Target Price Odds to finish over 11.36

The tendency of Free Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.36 90 days 11.36 
about 37.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Free Market to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.73 (This Free Market International probability density function shows the probability of Free Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Free Market has a beta of 0.86. This usually indicates Free Market International market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Free Market is expected to follow. Additionally Free Market International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Free Market Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Free Market

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Free Market International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Free Market's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7211.3311.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7211.3311.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Free Market. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Free Market's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Free Market's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Free Market International.

Free Market Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Free Market is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Free Market's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Free Market International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Free Market within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0064
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.86
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Free Market Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Free Market for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Free Market International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.25% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Free Market Technical Analysis

Free Market's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Free Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Free Market International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Free Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Free Market Predictive Forecast Models

Free Market's time-series forecasting models is one of many Free Market's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Free Market's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Free Market International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Free Market for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Free Market International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.25% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Check out Free Market Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Free Market Correlation, Free Market Hype Analysis, Free Market Volatility, Free Market History as well as Free Market Performance.
Note that the Free Market International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Free Market's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Free Market's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Free Market is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Free Market's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.