Finance Of America Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.9
| FOA Stock | USD 0.58 0.02 3.57% |
Closest to current price Finance long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Finance |
Finance Of Target Price Odds to finish over 0.9
The tendency of Finance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.90 or more in 90 days |
| 0.58 | 90 days | 0.90 | roughly 2.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finance Of to move over $ 0.90 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This Finance of America probability density function shows the probability of Finance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Finance of America price to stay between its current price of $ 0.58 and $ 0.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.56 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.68 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Finance Of will likely underperform. Additionally Finance of America has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Finance Of Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Finance Of
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finance of America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Finance Of's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Finance Of Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finance Of is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finance Of's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finance of America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finance Of within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Finance Of Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Finance Of for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Finance of America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Finance of America generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Finance of America has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Finance of America has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Finance of America has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 30.65 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (61.29 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 573.24 M. | |
| Finance of America has about 97.36 M in cash with (71.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Finance of America has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Finance of America Issues Statement on the Proposed Sale of Commercial Lending Business - The Globe and Mail |
Finance Of Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Finance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Finance Of's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Finance Of's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 82 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 224.8 M |
Finance Of Technical Analysis
Finance Of's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finance Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finance of America. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finance Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Finance Of Predictive Forecast Models
Finance Of's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finance Of's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finance Of's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Finance of America
Checking the ongoing alerts about Finance Of for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Finance of America help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Finance of America generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Finance of America has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Finance of America has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Finance of America has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 30.65 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (61.29 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 573.24 M. | |
| Finance of America has about 97.36 M in cash with (71.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Finance of America has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Finance of America Issues Statement on the Proposed Sale of Commercial Lending Business - The Globe and Mail |
Check out Finance Of Backtesting, Finance Of Valuation, Finance Of Correlation, Finance Of Hype Analysis, Finance Of Volatility, Finance Of History as well as Finance Of Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Finance Stock analysis
When running Finance Of's price analysis, check to measure Finance Of's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Finance Of is operating at the current time. Most of Finance Of's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Finance Of's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Finance Of's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Finance Of to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance |
Is Finance Of's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Finance Of. If investors know Finance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Finance Of listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.10) | Revenue Per Share 1.866 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.47) | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity (0.64) |
The market value of Finance of America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Finance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Finance Of's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Finance Of's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Finance Of's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Finance Of's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Finance Of's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Finance Of is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Finance Of's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.