Republic First Bancorp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.97

FRBKDelisted Stock  USD 0.30  0.00  0.00%   
Republic First's future price is the expected price of Republic First instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Republic First Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
  
Please specify Republic First's target price for which you would like Republic First odds to be computed.

Republic First Target Price Odds to finish below 2.97

The tendency of Republic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 2.97  after 90 days
 0.30 90 days 2.97 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Republic First to stay under $ 2.97  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Republic First Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Republic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Republic First Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.30  and $ 2.97  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1 . This usually indicates Republic First Bancorp market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Republic First is expected to follow. Additionally Republic First Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Republic First Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Republic First

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Republic First Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Republic First's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.300.300.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.280.280.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Republic First. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Republic First's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Republic First's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Republic First Bancorp.

Republic First Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Republic First is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Republic First's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Republic First Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Republic First within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.61
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Republic First Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Republic First for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Republic First Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Republic First is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Republic First has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Republic First has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Republic First Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Republic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Republic First's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Republic First's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Republic First Technical Analysis

Republic First's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Republic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Republic First Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Republic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Republic First Predictive Forecast Models

Republic First's time-series forecasting models is one of many Republic First's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Republic First's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Republic First Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Republic First for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Republic First Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Republic First is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Republic First has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Republic First has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the Republic First Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Republic First's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Republic Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Republic First Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Republic First's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
AI Investment Finder
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences